Vince Bryan – Page 929

5-2-19 Long-range: Recapping the recent heavy rains + latest update on the continued active pattern ahead. M.

02

May

5-2-19 Long-range: Recapping the recent heavy rains + latest update on the continued active pattern ahead. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rKVkaaUdzmo&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 5-2-19 Kirk Long range Key Points: Southwest flow related to the southeast US ridge continues to pump moisture in areas like Texas, Missouri and the Ohio Valley where above normal rainfall remains likely over the next 7 days.…

02

May

By Vince Bryan

Thursday Weather Package

Good morning! Here are the latest 7-day forecasts: Like yesterday, models continue to struggle with this current storm system. In general, current showers in Illinois will push into Indiana later today and weaken as they do so. Potential redevelopment should occur in southern IN south of I-70. Another round of…

5-2-19 Early AM Energy Check-up: Good overnight model changes…discussing the pattern progression into mid-May. K.

02

May

By Vince Bryan

5-2-19 Early AM Energy Check-up: Good overnight model changes…discussing the pattern progression into mid-May. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 5-2-19 AM Energy Check-Up Discussion: Overall the model changes with the overnight runs made a lot of sense to us…the EPS we’ve noted all week has looked too cool in the 6-10 and 11-15 day timeframe…

5-1-19 IL/IN/OH PM: Tricky shower/storm risk here over the next couple days…latest forecast here. K.

01

May

By Vince Bryan

5-1-19 IL/IN/OH PM: Tricky shower/storm risk here over the next couple days…latest forecast here. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/8j8pfc-efYM?hd=1 Precipitation guidance over the next 2 days is below what we feel the most confidence in...PLEASE watch the entire video as mention the risks and the lower confidence due to models performing very poorly even in the real-time forecast:

5-1-19 KS/NE: Discussing scattered rain chances in the short-term. K.

01

May

By Vince Bryan

5-1-19 KS/NE: Discussing scattered rain chances in the short-term. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/NSgqBfpzI8w?hd=1 Observed total precipitation over the past 48 hours is below: Observed snowfall over the past 24 hours is below for Nebraska: Total precipitation guidance over the next 2-3 days is below...not expecting widespread rains here, where the showers/storms develop we think the totals range from ~0.1-0.5 (favoring…

5-1-19 Long-range: Recapping April forecast verification, heavy rainfall/severe weather yesterday + updated ENSO evolution impacts into the summer. K.

01

May

By Vince Bryan

5-1-19 Long-range: Recapping April forecast verification, heavy rainfall/severe weather yesterday + updated ENSO evolution impacts into the summer. K.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLlkCRjsQZI&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 5-1-19 Long range analysis Key Points: Southwest flow related to the southeast US ridge continues to pump moisture in areas like Texas, Missouri and the Ohio Valley where above normal rainfall remains likely over the next 7 days.…

01

May

By Vince Bryan

Wednesday Weather Package

Good morning! Here are the latest 7-day forecasts: Here is estimated rainfall through Friday evening: Wind forecast over the next 4 days: Soil temp forecast: Weeks 1 and 2 temps from normal: Weeks 1 and 2 precip from normal: Select city forecast for precip: Iowa video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zOy91U3ZFmw&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Illinois video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TGE-VwSIjgE&feature=youtu.be&hd=1…

5-1-19 Missouri: Updated observed precipitation the last 2 days + discussing rainfall risks heading into late week/weekend. K.

01

May

By Vince Bryan

5-1-19 Missouri: Updated observed precipitation the last 2 days + discussing rainfall risks heading into late week/weekend. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/mp44srulb9A?hd=1 Observed rainfall totals over the past 48 hours is below...verifying the widespread 2.0-4.0" targeted especially between the I-70 and I-44 corridors: The good news in the short-term is the rainfall ahead over the next 60 hours targeted will be on the lighter side of things and more…

5-1-19 Early AM Energy Check-up: Discussing latest model biases and the lingering “La Nina” influences into mid-May. K.

01

May

By Vince Bryan

5-1-19 Early AM Energy Check-up: Discussing latest model biases and the lingering “La Nina” influences into mid-May. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to 0pen in HD): 5-1-19 AM Energy Check-Up Discussion: Models increased their volatility regarding the pattern evolution beyond the next week, especially the European Ensemble. The American GFS Ensemble continues to maintain a much warmer solution than the Euro, especially…

4-30-19 South America: Official May forecast update…El Nino influences holding strong with the pattern ahead. K.

30

Apr

By Vince Bryan

4-30-19 South America: Official May forecast update…El Nino influences holding strong with the pattern ahead. K.

Precipitation from normal over the past 7 days: April month-to-date percent of normal precipitation is below...a reflection of wetter risks noted for all major growing areas north to south: Temps from normal for April observed is below: Precipitation forecast guidance over the next 7 days is below...the bulk of precipitation to be…