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Author: Bret Walts

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12-17-21 PM Energy Report: Cooler trends north/east on mid-day GEFS + Monday look ahead. B.
17
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-17-21 PM Energy Report: Cooler trends north/east on mid-day GEFS + Monday look ahead. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report:  12-17-21 PM Energy Report MID-DAY GEFS CHANGES: The GEFS started trending colder in the week 1 period in the Central US – and in a rather notable fashion at times [it was warmer than the EPS in week 1 and…
Read More
12-17-21 Long Range: Late December cold risks hinge on MJO progression. Latest thoughts and week’s 3/4 forecasts here. B.
17
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-17-21 Long Range: Late December cold risks hinge on MJO progression. Latest thoughts and week’s 3/4 forecasts here. B.

Today's Video:  http://youtu.be/v1zpca-SUYM?hd=1 PDF Report: 121721LR Key Points: Additional risks for severe weather and excessive rainfall today in parts of the Southern Plains and MS Valley. Damaging winds and tornadoes will be the biggest risk. Short-term warmth will moderate with the cold front into early next week and some cooler…
Read More
12-17-21 Early AM Energy Report: More warmer trends on the overnight data. Latest details on risks and tendencies for late Dec. B.
17
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-17-21 Early AM Energy Report: More warmer trends on the overnight data. Latest details on risks and tendencies for late Dec. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-17-21 AM Energy Check Up Overnight Trends: Once again the overnight data trended warmer for a good part of the run on both the EPS and the GEFS. Their HDDs are now back well below normal for the week 2…
Read More
12-13-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data trying to pick up on cooler risks north – latest trends/details here. B.
13
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-13-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data trying to pick up on cooler risks north – latest trends/details here. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-13-21 AM Energy Check Up Weekend Trends: Data is trying to pick up on the pattern moderation and cooler air filtering into the northern US, but there wasn’t a major swing with the roll forwards from Friday being rather steady…
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12-10-21 PM Energy Report: Colder trends on the mid-day GEFS… step towards late Dec. forecast thoughts. B.
10
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-10-21 PM Energy Report: Colder trends on the mid-day GEFS… step towards late Dec. forecast thoughts. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report:  12-10-21 GEFS PM Energy Report MID-DAY GEFS CHANGES: The GEFS trended a little bit cooler in the week 1 period, before some slight warmer trends occurred of late next week’s storm system. The more notable colder trends occurred beyond day…
Read More
12-10-21 Early AM Energy Report: Colder trends with a storm overnight. Latest details on pattern transition signals. B.
10
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-10-21 Early AM Energy Report: Colder trends with a storm overnight. Latest details on pattern transition signals. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-10-21 AM Energy Check Up Overnight Trends: The overnight data trended colder behind our cold front in the middle part of week 2 for a good part of the US – backing down some of the more notable warmth that…
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12-7-21 Early AM Energy Report: Keeping a close eye on key signals for late December. B.
07
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-7-21 Early AM Energy Report: Keeping a close eye on key signals for late December. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-7-21 AM Energy Check Up Overnight Trends: Overall the overnight trends were relatively minor for the week 2 period – slight cooler trends in HDDs as data is coming in stronger with cooler air in the Western US with our…
Read More
12-6-21 Early AM Energy Report: Persistent weekend warmer trends. Nearly record low heating demand first 2/3rds of Dec. B.
06
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-6-21 Early AM Energy Report: Persistent weekend warmer trends. Nearly record low heating demand first 2/3rds of Dec. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-6-21 AM Energy Check Up Weekend Trends: The weekend trends on both the EPS and the GEFS were persistently warmer with a big loss in HDDs on the roll forward. They weren’t cold in the first place, but they’ve trended…
Read More
12-3-21 Early AM Energy Report: Cooler trends overnight. Latest thoughts on Mid-Dec warmth and risks late month. B.
03
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-3-21 Early AM Energy Report: Cooler trends overnight. Latest thoughts on Mid-Dec warmth and risks late month. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-3-21 AM Energy Check Up Overnight Trends: We noted yesterday that the GEFS likely overcorrected warmer yesterday – but that there was merit to the warmth for the week 2 period. The GEFS did trend colder overnight to a more…
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12-2-21 Early AM Energy Report: Keeping an eye on late December risks, but warm signals continue to be strong for mid-December. B.
02
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-2-21 Early AM Energy Report: Keeping an eye on late December risks, but warm signals continue to be strong for mid-December. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-2-21 AM Energy Check Up Overnight Trends: The GEFS got warmer rather consistently throughout the run starting late week 1 and into week 2 across the Eastern US leading to a decent drop in HDDs. It did get a touch…
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