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Author: Bret Walts

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23
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-23-23 PM Energy Report: Colder mid-day EPS trends, slightly warmer on GEFS. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report:  1_23_23_PMEnergy
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23
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-23-23 AM Energy Report: Notable weekend colder trends. Details here. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  Forecast Notes: There is no doubt data consistently trended colder over the weekend especially with the GEFS which is nearly 260 HDDs in week 2. This is different from our initial thoughts on the evolution into week 3 where we thought…
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20
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-20-23 AM Energy Report: No major overnight changes, core of colder air Central/Western US. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  **Important Note: Major outage concerning American weather model products this morning has caused the GEFS/GFS HDD data to break and the last 10 days of the GFS temperature runs to be unaccessible. We apologize for any inconvenience.  Forecast Notes: No…
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19
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-19-23 PM Energy Report: Minor midday warmer trends on GEFS. BAM idea remains steady. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report:  1-19-23 PM Energy Check Up
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19
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-19-23 AM Energy Report: EPS much warmer, GEFS colder overnight. Analyzing the differences late week 2. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  NOTES: Big differences have arisen for late week 2 between the EPS and the GEFS. Warmer trends dominated the overnight EPS run while the GEFS got colder. We believe the primary reason for this difference is the MJO, with the…
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18
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-18-23 PM Energy Report: Warmer trends on mid-day data… GEFS dropping HDDs late week 2. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report:  NOTES: We need to keep a careful eye on late week 2 in the coming days. As we have been discussing in our videos, into February that southeast ridge risk can become more of an influence and on top of that…
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18
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-18-23 AM Energy Report: Warmer overnight EPS trends. HDDs still rising to close out January. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  NOTES: While there continues to be a general rise in HDDs as we exit some of our warmest temperatures, the roll forward from yesterday morning and afternoon runs has certainly been warmer. The EPS trended warmer for much of the US…
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17
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-17-23 PM Energy Report: Warmer GEFS trends, EPS continues to grow colder late week 2. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report:  1_17_23_PMEnergy
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17
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-17-23 AM Energy Report: Increasing demand to close out January. Discussing East Coast risks. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  NOTES: Data has continued to rise with HDDs for the last week of the month. The EPS and the GEFS in the 11 - 15 day timeframe are both more widespread with colder than normal temperatures with notable cold in the…
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13
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-13-23 AM Energy Report: Cooler air bleeds into Central and Western US. Discussing East Coast warmer risks. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  NOTES: The overnight data generally didn't change much for HDDs, but the GEFS did trend a bit warmer late week 2 lingering East Coast warmth longer. This is a continued concern in terms of seeing above normal heating demand as the…
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