Bret Walts – Page 227

11

Dec

12-11-19 PM Energy Report: GEFS continues to trend cooler in the long-range. Latest discussion of pattern change potential later this month. B.

Here is today's PM Energy Report: 12-11 PM Energy Check-up Week 1: Some slight cooler trends throughout the week 1 period on the GEFS – but it generally remained steady. Given the risk for some kind of snowpack late in week 1 and cooler trends on the NBM, we will…

12-11-19 North Dakota: Accumulating snowfall today into tonight. Another wave on Thursday night. B.

11

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-11-19 North Dakota: Accumulating snowfall today into tonight. Another wave on Thursday night. B.

North Dakota Video: http://vimeo.com/378781351 Total Snowfall Accumulation Forecast: Simulated Radar throughout the day today and into tomorrow morning: Simulated Radar Thursday Evening into Friday: Potential Snowfall Accumulation Thursday Evening - Friday: Wind guidance over the next 4 days: Temperature Charts: Bismark: Devils Lake: Grand Forks: Jamestown: Crosby:

12-11-19 Early AM Energy Report: Major week 2 differences in heating demand. Ensembles struggling to see pattern up/downs. B.

11

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-11-19 Early AM Energy Report: Major week 2 differences in heating demand. Ensembles struggling to see pattern up/downs. B.

Good morning everyone! Here is your latest AM Energy Check-Up: 12-11-19 AM Energy Check Up The GEFS continues to run much colder than other data in the week 1 period and the operational models are warmer than both ensembles. Given a good performance by the NBM and verifications being too…

10

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-10-19 PM Energy Report: Major cooler trends on mid-day GEFS. Analyzing the validity of trends. B.

Today's PM Energy Report: 12-10 PM Energy Check up Week 1: The week 1 forecast trended colder in the Central US mainly behind a storm at the end of the week 1 period. The GEFS is trying to suggest the influence of another tropospheric polar vortex at the end of…

12-10-19 Early AM Energy Report: Model volatility continues on overnight data. B.

10

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-10-19 Early AM Energy Report: Model volatility continues on overnight data. B.

Good morning everyone! Here is your latest AM Energy Check-Up: 12-10 AM Energy Check-Up EPS trended quite a bit colder in the short-term on the overnight run with colder trends behind a storm system this weekend and early next week. It is also trying to put a snow pack down…

09

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-9-19 PM Energy Report: GEFS cold bias continues to be an issue. Discussing week 2 risks. B.

Today's PM Energy Report: 12-9 PM Energy Check-up Week 1: Week 1 GEFS warmer quite a bit in terms of HDDs closer to our AM forecast. Generally speaking some slight warmer trends on the East Coast persisted In week 1 with some cooler trends in the Central US behind a…

12-9-19 Ankeny Schools: Latest details on light snow showers today, breezy conditions. B.

09

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-9-19 Ankeny Schools: Latest details on light snow showers today, breezy conditions. B.

Today's Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndCnDhbPBZQ&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Forecast radar from 7am to 2pm CT today: Light accumulations of snow will be airborne as gusty northwest winds blow it around. Winds ramp up as this snow band works through, and temperatures tank. Forecast temperatures 7am this morning to 11pm tonight: Wind forecast over the…

12-9-19 Early AM Energy Report: Consistent weekend warmer trends. Discussing pattern adjustments since Friday. B.

09

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-9-19 Early AM Energy Report: Consistent weekend warmer trends. Discussing pattern adjustments since Friday. B.

Good morning everyone! Here is your latest AM Energy Check-Up: 12-9 AM Energy Check-Up Model chaos continues with major warming trends over the weekend. The arctic blast anticipated for this week has basically become a one day affair with mild air returning quickly after the cold front. What was initially…

06

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-6-19 LIVE 12z GEFS Energy Blog

https://bamwx.com/energy-live-chat/

12-6-19 Ankeny: Gusty winds tomorrow. Cold mid-next week. B.

06

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-6-19 Ankeny: Gusty winds tomorrow. Cold mid-next week. B.

Today's Video: http://youtu.be/j-iEz5zC1lk?hd=1 4 Panel of Wind gusts tomorrow: Simulated radar from 6 PM Sunday through 6 AM Tuesday. Modeled total precipitation over the next 7 days:. Here is a look at modeled snowfall totals through 6 AM Tuesday. Wind forecast over the next 4 days: 10-day temperatures: