Bret Walts – Page 216

12-11-19 Early AM Energy Report: Major week 2 differences in heating demand. Ensembles struggling to see pattern up/downs. B.

11

Dec

12-11-19 Early AM Energy Report: Major week 2 differences in heating demand. Ensembles struggling to see pattern up/downs. B.

Good morning everyone! Here is your latest AM Energy Check-Up: 12-11-19 AM Energy Check Up The GEFS continues to run much colder than other data in the week 1 period and the operational models are warmer than both ensembles. Given a good performance by the NBM and verifications being too…

10

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-10-19 PM Energy Report: Major cooler trends on mid-day GEFS. Analyzing the validity of trends. B.

Today's PM Energy Report: 12-10 PM Energy Check up Week 1: The week 1 forecast trended colder in the Central US mainly behind a storm at the end of the week 1 period. The GEFS is trying to suggest the influence of another tropospheric polar vortex at the end of…

12-10-19 Early AM Energy Report: Model volatility continues on overnight data. B.

10

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-10-19 Early AM Energy Report: Model volatility continues on overnight data. B.

Good morning everyone! Here is your latest AM Energy Check-Up: 12-10 AM Energy Check-Up EPS trended quite a bit colder in the short-term on the overnight run with colder trends behind a storm system this weekend and early next week. It is also trying to put a snow pack down…

09

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-9-19 PM Energy Report: GEFS cold bias continues to be an issue. Discussing week 2 risks. B.

Today's PM Energy Report: 12-9 PM Energy Check-up Week 1: Week 1 GEFS warmer quite a bit in terms of HDDs closer to our AM forecast. Generally speaking some slight warmer trends on the East Coast persisted In week 1 with some cooler trends in the Central US behind a…

12-9-19 Ankeny Schools: Latest details on light snow showers today, breezy conditions. B.

09

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-9-19 Ankeny Schools: Latest details on light snow showers today, breezy conditions. B.

Today's Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndCnDhbPBZQ&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Forecast radar from 7am to 2pm CT today: Light accumulations of snow will be airborne as gusty northwest winds blow it around. Winds ramp up as this snow band works through, and temperatures tank. Forecast temperatures 7am this morning to 11pm tonight: Wind forecast over the…

12-9-19 Early AM Energy Report: Consistent weekend warmer trends. Discussing pattern adjustments since Friday. B.

09

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-9-19 Early AM Energy Report: Consistent weekend warmer trends. Discussing pattern adjustments since Friday. B.

Good morning everyone! Here is your latest AM Energy Check-Up: 12-9 AM Energy Check-Up Model chaos continues with major warming trends over the weekend. The arctic blast anticipated for this week has basically become a one day affair with mild air returning quickly after the cold front. What was initially…

06

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-6-19 LIVE 12z GEFS Energy Blog

https://bamwx.com/energy-live-chat/

12-6-19 Ankeny: Gusty winds tomorrow. Cold mid-next week. B.

06

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-6-19 Ankeny: Gusty winds tomorrow. Cold mid-next week. B.

Today's Video: http://youtu.be/j-iEz5zC1lk?hd=1 4 Panel of Wind gusts tomorrow: Simulated radar from 6 PM Sunday through 6 AM Tuesday. Modeled total precipitation over the next 7 days:. Here is a look at modeled snowfall totals through 6 AM Tuesday. Wind forecast over the next 4 days: 10-day temperatures:

12-6-19 Early AM Energy Report: Data remains consistent. Analyzing pattern progression late week 2 into week 3. B.

06

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-6-19 Early AM Energy Report: Data remains consistent. Analyzing pattern progression late week 2 into week 3. B.

Good morning! Here is your AM Energy Report! Have a blessed day! ~Bret 12-6 AM Energy Check-Up Week 1 now features both the warm up and the arctic blast related to the tropospheric polar vortex. This averages out to allow near normal heating demand and temperatures colder than normal in the…

12-5-19 PM Energy Report: Little changes on mid-day GEFS. Forecast remains on track. B.

05

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-5-19 PM Energy Report: Little changes on mid-day GEFS. Forecast remains on track. B.

Good afternoon! Here is your latest PM Energy Report Report. Have a blessed day! - Bret 12-5 PM Energy Check-up Week 1: Slight cooler trends in the South-Central US in week 1 – but overall no notable changes. Cooler trends just look to be related to stronger cold air behind…