Author: Bret Walts

Good Thursday morning everyone! We hope you had a very Merry Christmas! Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-26 AM Energy Check-Up The week 1 period continues to be about 50 points below the 30 year normal for the week 1 period. We continue to feel the influence of…

Good morning everyone and Merry Christmas Eve.  The EPS run failed to fully come in last night so we do not have new EPS HDDs this morning. However, I have attached the latest EPS Week 2 forecast and the 10-15 day 500mb changes below along with the week 2 GEFS: …

Good Morning everyone! Your Early AM Energy Report is below! ~ Bret 12-23-19 AM Energy Check-Up As we talked about throughout last week, the MJO progression through phases 6/7 would lead to widespread warmer risks for the week 1 period. This is certainly looking to verify and in fact data…

Good Friday morning! Your AM Energy Report is below! ~ Bret 12-20 AM Energy Check-Up Week 1 HDDs continue to drop now well below the normal values for the week 1 period and we will continue to drop these values at least for another day or two. Today is really…

Good afternoon everyone! Below is your latest PM Energy Report:  12-19 PM Energy Check up Week 1: No big changes in the week 1 period on temperatures.  A small drop (1 point in HDDs) and we cannot discount this given GEFS has just been too cold in week 1.  Ensembles…

Good morning! Your AM Energy Check-Up is below!  12-19 AM Energy Check-Up As anticipated the week 1 HDDs are tanking and have now fallen below the 10/30 year normal values for the week 1 period. The strong Pacific jet is the initial culprit of a flood of mild air into…

Good morning! Below is your latest AM Energy Check-Up: 12-18 AM Energy Check Up No real change to the forecast from yesterday as models have been pretty consistent with the idea of the warm up following cooler temperatures to begin the week 1 period. HDDs will continue to fall over…

Below is your PM Energy Report! Have a great day!  12-17 PM Energy Check up Week 1: Slight cooler trends in the week 1 period on the East Coast.  Not clear why the GEFS trended colder in a concentrated spot of the Mid-Atlantic, but we continue to favor the warmer…