Bret Walts – Page 183

3-18-20 Early AM Energy Report: Drop in heating demand in overnight data. Leaning towards building warmth late month. B.

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Mar

3-18-20 Early AM Energy Report: Drop in heating demand in overnight data. Leaning towards building warmth late month. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 3-18-20 AM Energy Check-Up The EPS has trended a good bit warmer again overnight especially in the Eastern US. In fact, in lost another 11 points just on the 0z run, meanwhile the GFS Op has lost more than 50…

3-17-20 IA: Latest timing on rain and accumulation potential. B.

17

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-17-20 IA: Latest timing on rain and accumulation potential. B.

PM Video: https://youtu.be/UnNT4zk8Bjw Favored rainfall through tomorrow evening: Total rainfall through this week (note see video for more details on total rain accumulation):

3-17-20 PM Energy Report: GEFS continues to play catch-up. Details here. B.

17

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-17-20 PM Energy Report: GEFS continues to play catch-up. Details here. B.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest PM Energy Report: 3-17 PM Energy Report Week 1: Warmer trends especially in the latter part of week 1 ahead of a storm system in the Eastern US. The GEFS lost 2 points through the first 7 days, but it remains colder than…

3-17-20 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends on data and latest analog suggestions into April. B.

17

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-17-20 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends on data and latest analog suggestions into April. B.

Good morning everyone and Happy St. Patrick's Day! Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 3-17-20 AM Energy Check-Up As we mentioned yesterday, the big risk in the upcoming long-range is the evolution of the AAM. If the AAM goes negative as we anticipate, this is a warmer signal for…

3-16-20 PM Energy Report: Favorable trends in the North Pacific, but issues remain on mid-day runs. B.

16

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-16-20 PM Energy Report: Favorable trends in the North Pacific, but issues remain on mid-day runs. B.

Good afternoon, below is your latest PM Energy Report: 3-16-20 PM Energy Report Week 1: Slight warmer trends in the week 1 period as the GEFS trended slightly weaker with the cold blast of air later this week. The GEFS remains quite a bit colder than our week 1 forecast.…

3-16-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing weekend colder trends and risks to the forecasts for week 2. B.

16

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-16-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing weekend colder trends and risks to the forecasts for week 2. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 3-16 AM Energy Check-Up Since Friday morning, data has overall undergone colder changes –though the EPS has trended slightly warmer since it’s big HDD rise on 12z Friday. The 5-10 day period is quite a bit colder than what had…

3-13-20 PM Ohio: Mix of rain and snow tomorrow… pavement impacts not anticipated. B.

13

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-13-20 PM Ohio: Mix of rain and snow tomorrow… pavement impacts not anticipated. B.

Today's Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SqYwtQwECKk&feature=youtu.be Simulated radar tomorrow between 8AM and 2AM SUN: Accumulations are still not expect on the pavement, but some light grassy accumulation is possible: If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to reach out. Have a great day.

3-13-20 PM Energy Report: Analyzing mid-day trends and adjustments that likely occur this weekend. B.

13

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-13-20 PM Energy Report: Analyzing mid-day trends and adjustments that likely occur this weekend. B.

Good afternoon, below is your latest PM Energy Report: 3-13-20 PM Energy Report Week 1: The Mid-Day American data trended colder behind a storm system late next week. The ensembles have been much too cold in week 1 as of late and it’s likely the model is underdone with storm…

3-13-20 Long Range: La Niña-like tendencies develop and influence the pattern into April. B.

13

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-13-20 Long Range: La Niña-like tendencies develop and influence the pattern into April. B.

Good morning everyone. No new video forecast today, please refer to yesterday's video for a short-term and summer pattern discussion. Be sure to read the week's 3/4 slide for our official thoughts into April. Yesterday's Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k2guAaZ4zuU&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Long Range Slides (Click below to view in HD): 3-13 Long Range Analysis…

3-13-20 500 Festival Education Program: Breezy and cool to start the day but dry! B.

13

Mar

By Bret Walts

3-13-20 500 Festival Education Program: Breezy and cool to start the day but dry! B.

Good morning everyone. Overall, today won't present much issues related to weather with a dry day on tap. There will be some gusty winds to 25MPH (locally higher in the pre-dawn hours) this morning, but they will get less gusty as the day goes on. Here's a look at today's…