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Author: Bret Walts

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2-5-21 Early AM Energy Report: Potential for record breaking period of cold increasing. B.
05
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-5-21 Early AM Energy Report: Potential for record breaking period of cold increasing. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  2-5-21 AM Energy Check Up While data has continued to be volatile, the trends in the past 24 hours have certainly been on the colder side. We have continued to wobble back and forth between colder and warmer trends this…
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2-4-21 Early AM Energy Report: BAM forecast remains steady for the next two weeks with cold air expanding mid-month. B.
04
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-4-21 Early AM Energy Report: BAM forecast remains steady for the next two weeks with cold air expanding mid-month. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  2-4-21 AM Energy Check Up The EPS once again got warmer in the south-central and southeastern US in the week 1 timeframe and it is now rather notably warmer than the American data in terms of week 1 HDDs. We…
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2-3-21 PM Energy Report: Major model volatility as early as next week. Discussing risks to the cold forecasts. B.
03
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-3-21 PM Energy Report: Major model volatility as early as next week. Discussing risks to the cold forecasts. B.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest PM Energy Report:  2-3-21 PM Energy-Report Week 1: The mid-day GEFS trended warmer ahead of a storm in the short-term days 5 -7, briefly. However, the EPS saw more notable, widespread and persistent warmer trends in the week 1 period. The EPS lost…
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2-3-21 Early AM Energy Report: Major arctic cold remains on tap next week. Analyzing model differences late week 2. B.
03
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-3-21 Early AM Energy Report: Major arctic cold remains on tap next week. Analyzing model differences late week 2. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  2-3-21 AM Energy Check Up Following substantial warmer trends in the short-term on the EPS yesterday, it trended colder on 0z coming back to reality a little bit with this pattern. We still think there are risks for storm induced…
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2-2-21 Early AM Energy Report: Major colder trends continue, memorable arctic blast for second week of February. B.
02
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-2-21 Early AM Energy Report: Major colder trends continue, memorable arctic blast for second week of February. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  *Note, we have trended our February GWHDD substantially colder given the persistent colder trends and the lobe of the Polar Vortex situated over North America. Details on the second slide.  2-2-21 AM Energy Check-Up The overnight data continued to trend…
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01
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-1-21 PM Energy Report: Colder trends on mid-day American data, details here. B.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest PM Energy Report:  2-1-21 PM Energy Report Week 1: Decent colder trends on the GEFS late week 1 into week 2 with our arctic blast of air. As we discussed this morning, we felt like the GEFS had some room to trend a…
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2-1-21 Early AM Energy Report: Notable blast of arctic air increasingly likely. B.
01
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-1-21 Early AM Energy Report: Notable blast of arctic air increasingly likely. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  2-1-21 AM Energy Check Up A very interesting weekend of model trends with the GEFS staying rather consistent on the roll-forward with some warmer trends at the end of the run while the EPS consistently trended colder and now it…
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28
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-28-21 Early AM Energy Report: Detailed discussion of top pattern drivers, favored idea into Mid-February. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  1-28-21 AM Energy Check Up As we mentioned yesterday, we felt like the EPS specifically could trend warmer ahead of our bigger storm system in what is now early week 2, and it did just that across the southern tier…
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27
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-27-21 Houston Pilots Forecast Package (PM). B.

Good Wednesday afternoon!  Here is your latest forecast package! If you have any forecast questions please do not hesitate to reach out via our on call phone number (317)-560-8122, option 1.  PDF: Houston-Pilots
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26
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-26-21 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing differences between data in the short-term. Risks to mid-February pattern. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  1-26-21 AM Energy Check Up The EPS trended much cooler overall on the 12z run yesterday as it appeared to try to increase MJO phase 8 forcing. This is a risk late in the week 2 period, but we still…
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