Bret Walts – Page 132

1-14-21 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing recent cold bias on model data, pattern driven by late January storms. B.

14

Jan

1-14-21 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing recent cold bias on model data, pattern driven by late January storms. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-14-21 AM Energy Check-Up No major changes in the week 1 period with the last day of the period slightly less warm than yesterday’s day 1 leading to the slight increase in HDDs. With that being said, the end of…

1-13-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends SE on America data overnight. Timing out the pattern change and forecast risks. B.

13

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-13-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends SE on America data overnight. Timing out the pattern change and forecast risks. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-13-21 AM Energy Check Up Overnight there were only relatively minor changes in the model data, with slight increases in HDDs on both ensembles. However, the GEFS actually trended warmer in the SE and Southern US as we anticipated it…

1-12-21 Early AM Energy Report: European data remains volatile, discussing pattern change on the table late Jan – Feb. B.

12

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-12-21 Early AM Energy Report: European data remains volatile, discussing pattern change on the table late Jan – Feb. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-12-21 AM Energy Check-Up Only minor trends in the week 1 period with the GEFS trending a touch cooler south in the week 1 period. We have generally stayed a touch cooler south due to the risk of the –NAO…

1-11-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data continues to roll forward warmer north. Analyzing pattern change and return of SE ridge late January. B.

11

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-11-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data continues to roll forward warmer north. Analyzing pattern change and return of SE ridge late January. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-11-21 AM Energy Check Up Generally data trended warmer over the weekend, but not in a notable or substantial manner. The roll forward has been colder in the south, but the bigger difference has been warmer trends in the Midwest…

1-10-21 Week Ahead Report: Major differences in week 2 model data. Discussing risks and details here. B.

10

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-10-21 Week Ahead Report: Major differences in week 2 model data. Discussing risks and details here. B.

Good afternoon. Below is your latest week ahead report: 1-10-21 Week Ahead Outlook Temperatures: Week 1: temperatures from normal over the next week will be widespread above normal across the northern half of the US, especially focused in the northern Plains to Northeast; a common theme dating all the way…

10

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-10-21 Houston Pilots Forecast Package (PM). B.

Good Sunday Afternoon Here is your latest forecast package! If you have any forecast questions please do not hesitate to reach out via our on call phone number (317)-560-8122, option 1. PDF: Houston-Pilots

1-8-21 Early AM Energy Report: Analyzing differences between American and European data late week 2. B.

08

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-8-21 Early AM Energy Report: Analyzing differences between American and European data late week 2. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-8-21 AM Energy Check Up No big changes overnight on the model data, with more of the warmer days starting to come into this period ahead of storm systems in early week 2. The continued +EPO will drive warmth across…

1-7-21 Early AM Energy Report: Slight cooler trends in the east overnight. Pattern idea remains on track. B.

07

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-7-21 Early AM Energy Report: Slight cooler trends in the east overnight. Pattern idea remains on track. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-7-21 AM Energy Check Up No changes to our forecast thoughts in the short-term. There continues to be a big difference between the American and European data for HDDs, but the EPS has generally done better with the cooler air…

1-6-21 PM Energy Report: Cooler trends in the east on mid-day American data. B.

06

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-6-21 PM Energy Report: Cooler trends in the east on mid-day American data. B.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest PM Energy Report: 1-6-21 PM Energy Report Week 1: Minor warmer trends on the EPS in the week 1 period rather sporadically across the US. The EPS remains the cooler solution than the GEFS and we still would tend to lean closer to…

1-6-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends continued overnight, but blocking persists. B.

06

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-6-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends continued overnight, but blocking persists. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-6-21 AM Energy Check-Up Warmer trends from 12z have carried over to the overnight runs of the ensemble models. No major adjustments in week 1, with much of the changes coming in the week 2 period, though the GEFS did…