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Author: Bret Walts

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4-21-21 Early AM Energy Report: Big differences in model data for early May. Our latest thoughts here. B.
21
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-21-21 Early AM Energy Report: Big differences in model data for early May. Our latest thoughts here. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-21-21 AM Energy Check Up We continue to drop HDDs for the week 1 period as we continue to work past record breaking cold in the Central US to Midwest and Ohio Valley which is leading to very high HDDs…
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20
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-20-21 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing risks to the forecast into May and differing ideas for warm-up ahead of end of the month front. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-20-21 AM Energy Check Up The core of the cold comes in the short-term related to MJO phase 8/1 with record breaking cold air possible in parts of the Central US at times over the next few days. This also…
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4-19-21 Early AM Energy Report: Big cold in the short-term… pattern moderates into May. B.
19
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-19-21 Early AM Energy Report: Big cold in the short-term… pattern moderates into May. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-19-21 AM Energy Check Up Major blast of cold air this week related to MJO phase 8 and 1 and a major SOI drop that has led us to to target this timeframe for a long time for frost and…
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16
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-16-21 Early AM Energy Report: European data continues to be volatile in the extended range. Latest thoughts here. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is our latest AM Energy Report:  4-16-21 AM Energy Check Up Notable cool air continues over the next ~10 days or so as we feel the influences of MJO phase 8/1. Expect multiple frost/freeze chances especially in the Central US to Midwest over this period with…
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4-15-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends overnight as data continues to fluctuate with pattern transition late April into May. B.
15
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-15-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends overnight as data continues to fluctuate with pattern transition late April into May. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-15-21 AM Energy Check Up No notable changes in the short-term as we continue to slowly add on HDDs for the week 1 period as we get closer to the core of the colder pattern. We look to enter MJO…
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4-14-21 Early AM Energy Report: Colder trends the last few data runs. Discussing the merit of these trends and risks late week 2 and beyond. B.
14
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-14-21 Early AM Energy Report: Colder trends the last few data runs. Discussing the merit of these trends and risks late week 2 and beyond. B.

Good morning everyone below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-14-21 AM Energy Check Up Much below normal temperatures remain on the table throughout the next 7 days especially in the Central US with the core of the cooler than normal air growing eastward with time into next week. This…
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4-13-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data trying to hint at moderation late week 2. Pattern drivers are there for a warm-up but a risk remains. B.
13
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-13-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data trying to hint at moderation late week 2. Pattern drivers are there for a warm-up but a risk remains. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-13-21 AM Energy Check Up Week 1 continues to grow subtly colder as the cooler air will continue to bleed a bit further east with time. The MJO has slowed a touch which is allowing for more phase 7 influence…
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4-12-21 Early AM Energy Report: Cooler pattern settles in the next few weeks. Analyzing some model difference next week. B.
12
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-12-21 Early AM Energy Report: Cooler pattern settles in the next few weeks. Analyzing some model difference next week. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-12-21 AM Energy Check Up One thing to note and to keep in mind as we roll forward is that recent verifications for week 1 have been on the low end closer to the NBM. We are staying below the…
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4-9-21 Early AM Energy Report: Notable shot of cool air remains likely next week. Discussing how long this pattern lasts. B.
09
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-9-21 Early AM Energy Report: Notable shot of cool air remains likely next week. Discussing how long this pattern lasts. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-9-21 AM Energy Check Up The trend in the short-term has been slightly warmer on the East Coast ahead of our upper-level lows and impending strong cold fronts next week. This risk is one we have been mentioning throughout the…
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4-8-21 Early AM Energy Report: Latest details on shot of cold air mid-late April following warm start to the month. B.
08
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-8-21 Early AM Energy Report: Latest details on shot of cold air mid-late April following warm start to the month. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-8-21 AM Energy Check Up The week 1 period continues to subtly rise HDDs for week 1 as the warmest days pass. This trend will continue into the weekend as we slowly get closer back to the normal values. The…
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