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Author: Bret Walts

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12-7-20 Early AM Energy Report: Data continues to trend warmer. Mild Pacific air to flood into the US mid-late month. B.
07
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-7-20 Early AM Energy Report: Data continues to trend warmer. Mild Pacific air to flood into the US mid-late month. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-7-20 AM Energy Check-Up It’s hard to imagine, but the data lost more points on the roll forward over the weekend following the warmer trends to end last week. We knew that the upcoming week 1 would be very warm…
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12-6-20 Week Ahead Report: Warmer trends persisted over the weekend, mild pattern to win out into late December. B.
06
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-6-20 Week Ahead Report: Warmer trends persisted over the weekend, mild pattern to win out into late December. B.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest Week Ahead Report. Have a blessed day. - Bret 12-6-20 Week Ahead Outlook Temperatures:  There’s no question we’ve seen another weekend with rather widespread warming trends on the data as it rolls forward into mid-December. With the MJO pulse looking to stay rather…
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12-4-20 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends continue in model data. Warmer risks winning out in the extended range. B.
04
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-4-20 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends continue in model data. Warmer risks winning out in the extended range. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-4-20 AM Energy Check-Up Warmer trends have persisted over the last two runs of model data which helps give us a clearer picture into the extended range and the forecasts risks we mentioned yesterday. Much of the cooler risks were…
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12-3-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing major risks to the pattern for the rest of December. B.
03
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-3-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing major risks to the pattern for the rest of December. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 12-3-20 Early AM Energy Report Major warmth remains likely in the short-term with parts of the north central US looking to average out 8 – 12F+ above normal for the week 1 average. This substantial warmth related to the major…
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12-2-20 Early AM Energy Report: Watching a more notable cold front mid-month. Pattern risks in mid-December. B.
02
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-2-20 Early AM Energy Report: Watching a more notable cold front mid-month. Pattern risks in mid-December. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-2-20 AM Energy Check-Up Week 1 remains relatively steady with warmth in the Western and Central US (especially in the Northern Plains) and cooler air lingering in the southeast US. A weak storm system looks to work through this weekend…
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12-1-20 Early AM Energy Report: Keeping an eye on a mid-month storm and the pattern progression in the Pacific. B.
01
Dec
By Bret Walts

12-1-20 Early AM Energy Report: Keeping an eye on a mid-month storm and the pattern progression in the Pacific. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  12-1-20 AM Energy Check-Up We continue to lean on the cooler side of week 1 data for the time being given a persistent slight warm bias among ensembles. The EPS has generally done better with it’s slightly cooler idea, probably…
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11-30-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing pattern signals into mid-late December.
30
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-30-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing pattern signals into mid-late December.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  11-30-20 AM Energy Check-Up Looking at the roll forward from this time last week, the colder shot has definitely trended cooler behind this storm system and this is something to keep in mind for future storm systems in the Eastern…
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11-29-20 Week Ahead Report: Cooler south this week, analysis of pattern progression into Mid-December. B.
29
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-29-20 Week Ahead Report: Cooler south this week, analysis of pattern progression into Mid-December. B.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest Week Ahead Report. Have a great Sunday. 11-29-20 Week Ahead Outlook Temperatures:  We are clearly experiencing a more El Niño-like pattern in the short-term with a +PNA and a bit of blocking help keeping the southern and southeastern US cooler than normal. A…
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11-27-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing differences in data late week 2, but overall theme remains on track. B.
27
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-27-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing differences in data late week 2, but overall theme remains on track. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  11-27-20 AM Energy Check-Up The week 1 period is still impacted by the storm system to come early next week. It will pump up warmth in the Eastern US ahead of it (especially in the NE US) while cold air…
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11-25-20 Early AM Energy Report: Cooler risks growing in the E/SE US. Discussing risks and durability. B.
25
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-25-20 Early AM Energy Report: Cooler risks growing in the E/SE US. Discussing risks and durability. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  11-25-20 AM Energy Check-Up Overall the next several days feels the impact of MJO phase 3 with warmer than normal temperatures likely in the Eastern and Central US and HDDs well below normal. One thing to watch is a potential strong…
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