Bret Walts – Page 125

1-20-21 Special PM Update: Updated February Outlooks

20

Jan

1-20-21 Special PM Update: Updated February Outlooks

Good afternoon everyone! We wanted to send over our update February forecast thoughts this afternoon. Below you will find our latest discussion with the main pattern drivers and risks. We will do one final update before January ends late next week. - Bret February Forecast Temperatures: No major changes with…

1-20-21 Early AM Energy Report: More warmer trends overnight as pattern grows increasingly warm into February. B.

20

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-20-21 Early AM Energy Report: More warmer trends overnight as pattern grows increasingly warm into February. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-20-21 AM Energy Check Up Some slight cooler trends behind a storm late week 1 on the latest GEFS. Of course, as we have been touching on for the past few weeks, this pattern does support seasonable to cooler air…

1-19-21 PM Energy Report: Shifts in the Pacific on the latest mid-day EPS. GEFS remains steady. B.

19

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-19-21 PM Energy Report: Shifts in the Pacific on the latest mid-day EPS. GEFS remains steady. B.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest PM Energy Report: 1-19-21 PM Energy Report Week 1: Minor cooler changes late in this period behind a storm system, mainly in the Great Lakes to NE US which is where we’ve been mentioning the risk behind storms the last few weeks. Given…

1-19-21 Early AM Energy Report: Colder bias of models continues in the extended range. Details here and pattern drivers into February. B.

19

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-19-21 Early AM Energy Report: Colder bias of models continues in the extended range. Details here and pattern drivers into February. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-19-21 AM Energy Check-Up The week 1 period has generally continued to roll forward warmer vs. the original ideas models had early last week. Overall, it looks like they are going to verify about 10 points to warm when comparing…

1-18-21 Early AM Energy Report: Substantial warmer trends over the weekend closer to our forecast. Details here. B.

18

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-18-21 Early AM Energy Report: Substantial warmer trends over the weekend closer to our forecast. Details here. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-18-21 AM Energy Check-Up Over the weekend, data trended pretty persistently warmer for the Eastern US throughout the run on both the EPS and the GEFS – especially towards the end of January. Recall, Friday’s models were suggesting a rather…

1-15-21 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing volatile model trends and risks to the forecast. B.

15

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-15-21 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing volatile model trends and risks to the forecast. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-15-21 AM Energy Check Up As expected, the warmth is expected to be widespread in the week 1 period with the vast majority of the US averaging out above normal with much above normal temperatures from the Northern Plains to…

1-14-21 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing recent cold bias on model data, pattern driven by late January storms. B.

14

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-14-21 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing recent cold bias on model data, pattern driven by late January storms. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-14-21 AM Energy Check-Up No major changes in the week 1 period with the last day of the period slightly less warm than yesterday’s day 1 leading to the slight increase in HDDs. With that being said, the end of…

1-13-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends SE on America data overnight. Timing out the pattern change and forecast risks. B.

13

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-13-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends SE on America data overnight. Timing out the pattern change and forecast risks. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-13-21 AM Energy Check Up Overnight there were only relatively minor changes in the model data, with slight increases in HDDs on both ensembles. However, the GEFS actually trended warmer in the SE and Southern US as we anticipated it…

1-12-21 Early AM Energy Report: European data remains volatile, discussing pattern change on the table late Jan – Feb. B.

12

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-12-21 Early AM Energy Report: European data remains volatile, discussing pattern change on the table late Jan – Feb. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-12-21 AM Energy Check-Up Only minor trends in the week 1 period with the GEFS trending a touch cooler south in the week 1 period. We have generally stayed a touch cooler south due to the risk of the –NAO…

1-11-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data continues to roll forward warmer north. Analyzing pattern change and return of SE ridge late January. B.

11

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-11-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data continues to roll forward warmer north. Analyzing pattern change and return of SE ridge late January. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-11-21 AM Energy Check Up Generally data trended warmer over the weekend, but not in a notable or substantial manner. The roll forward has been colder in the south, but the bigger difference has been warmer trends in the Midwest…