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Author: Bret Walts

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  • Bret Walts
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4-5-21 Early AM Energy Report: Model volatility and struggles continue for Mid-April. Discussing the culprit and favored thoughts. B.
05
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-5-21 Early AM Energy Report: Model volatility and struggles continue for Mid-April. Discussing the culprit and favored thoughts. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-5-21 AM Energy Check Up We’ve seen almost a complete 180 in the ensemble data for what was Friday’s week 2 over the weekend. On Friday data was trending closer to MJO phase 8 and the –PMM correlation for the…
Read More
4-2-21 Early AM Energy Report: Model volatility continues. More ups/downs possible for Mid-April. B.
02
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-2-21 Early AM Energy Report: Model volatility continues. More ups/downs possible for Mid-April. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-2-21 AM Energy Check Up The volatile trends continue in the data with decent colder trends overnight on the EPS and warmer trends in the Central US on the GEFS. There is no doubt going to continue to be volatility…
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4-1-21 Early AM Energy Report: Model volatility increases. Discussing cooler data trends & risks for Mid-April. B.
01
Apr
By Bret Walts

4-1-21 Early AM Energy Report: Model volatility increases. Discussing cooler data trends & risks for Mid-April. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  4-1-21 AM Energy Check Up Week 1 continues to grow warmer and warmer and once we get past the colder days to close out the work week, HDDs will drop very low with notable warmth to close out week 1…
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3-31-21 Early AM Energy Report: Major warmth builds in the Central US. Analyzing risks to late week 2 forecast. B.
31
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-31-21 Early AM Energy Report: Major warmth builds in the Central US. Analyzing risks to late week 2 forecast. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  3-31-21 AM Energy Check Up One trend we have noticed in the short-term is a delay in moving the warmest air further east into the Great Lakes late week 1 into early week 2. The warmest core of air has…
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3-30-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data remains steady overnight. Mild pattern on track for early April. B.
30
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-30-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data remains steady overnight. Mild pattern on track for early April. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  3-30-21 AM Energy Check Up No major changes in model data overnight, with the EPS remaining the cooler solution for the week 1 period as it lingers cold a little bit longer this weekend. As we touched on yesterday, especially…
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3-29-21 PM Energy Report: Analyzing mid-day model trends and risks for week 2. B.
29
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-29-21 PM Energy Report: Analyzing mid-day model trends and risks for week 2. B.

Good afternoon.  ***NOTE: PM Energy Reports will end for the season after Thursday, April 1st. As always, if you have any questions, please do not hesitate to reach out.*** Below is your latest PM Energy Report:  3-29-21 PM Energy-Report Week 1: Subtle warmer trends in the week 1 period in…
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3-29-21 Early AM Energy Report: Brief shot of cold air this week, expanding warmth for April. B.
29
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-29-21 Early AM Energy Report: Brief shot of cold air this week, expanding warmth for April. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  3-29-21 AM Energy Check Up We will have two days in the week 1 period that will be quite chilly compared to normal across the Eastern third of the US related to a strong cold front to start April (likely…
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3-26-21 Early AM Energy Report: EPS remains quite a bit colder than other data in the medium range. Warmer signals remain in the long-range. B.
26
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-26-21 Early AM Energy Report: EPS remains quite a bit colder than other data in the medium range. Warmer signals remain in the long-range. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  3-26-21 AM Energy Check Up We still have major differences between the EPS and the other data as we work into the timeframe of our strong cold front to end March and start April. The first part of this front…
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3-25-21 Early AM Energy Report: Central US warmth builds in early April. Details here. B.
25
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-25-21 Early AM Energy Report: Central US warmth builds in early April. Details here. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  3-25-21 AM Energy Check Up The EPS continues to struggle and have up and down runs with 12z yesterday trending warmer and now the 0z run trend quite a bit colder with a front to close March and begin April.…
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3-24-21 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing -NAO risks and impacts into April. Up/down model trends. B.
24
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-24-21 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing -NAO risks and impacts into April. Up/down model trends. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  3-24-21 AM Energy Check Up Pretty volatile trends occurred overnight on the European data. The Euro op trended substantially warmer in the week 1 period losing 13 points in a 4 day period between March 28 – 31. Meanwhile, the EPS gained…
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