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Author: Bret Walts

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2-11-21 Early AM Energy Report: Extreme cold in the short-term. Moderation late month, but different model ideas about the pattern shift orientation. B.
11
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-11-21 Early AM Energy Report: Extreme cold in the short-term. Moderation late month, but different model ideas about the pattern shift orientation. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  2-11-21 AM Energy Check Up We’ve stayed pretty consistent with our week 1 forecast given volatility especially with the EPS. The last two runs of the EPS have trended back colder and while the GEFS remains the colder of the…
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2-10-21 Early AM Energy Report: Eyeing moderation of arctic cold. Discussing warmer risks to end February. B.
10
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-10-21 Early AM Energy Report: Eyeing moderation of arctic cold. Discussing warmer risks to end February. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  2-10-21 AM Energy Check Up The EPS has trended much warmer in the short-term on the East Coast as it continues to struggle with the intensity and influence of the southeast US ridge. There is likely some MJO influence at…
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2-9-21 Houston Pilots Forecast Package (PM). B.
09
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-9-21 Houston Pilots Forecast Package (PM). B.

Good Tuesday afternoon!  Here is your latest forecast package! If you have any forecast questions please do not hesitate to reach out via our on call phone number (317)-560-8122, option 1.  PDF: Houston-Pilots
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2-8-21 PM Energy Report: Differing model changes on the mid-day runs, but changes to bring them closer to our thoughts. B.
08
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-8-21 PM Energy Report: Differing model changes on the mid-day runs, but changes to bring them closer to our thoughts. B.

Good afternoon. Below is your latest PM Energy Report:  2-8-21 PM Energy Report Week 1: Colder trends on the mid-day GEFS in the week 1 period for much of the Southern and Eastern US. The EPS trended colder in the Central US and a touch warmer in the Eastern US.…
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2-8-21 Early AM Energy Report: Analyzing where data has struggled, risks and latest forecast into late February. B.
08
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-8-21 Early AM Energy Report: Analyzing where data has struggled, risks and latest forecast into late February. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  2-8-21 AM Energy Check Up   Data remains quite volatile in both the week 1 and the week 2 period as they continue to struggle with the MJO and the extent and location of the cold. Overall, the GEFS has…
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2-5-21 Early AM Energy Report: Potential for record breaking period of cold increasing. B.
05
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-5-21 Early AM Energy Report: Potential for record breaking period of cold increasing. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  2-5-21 AM Energy Check Up While data has continued to be volatile, the trends in the past 24 hours have certainly been on the colder side. We have continued to wobble back and forth between colder and warmer trends this…
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2-4-21 Early AM Energy Report: BAM forecast remains steady for the next two weeks with cold air expanding mid-month. B.
04
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-4-21 Early AM Energy Report: BAM forecast remains steady for the next two weeks with cold air expanding mid-month. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  2-4-21 AM Energy Check Up The EPS once again got warmer in the south-central and southeastern US in the week 1 timeframe and it is now rather notably warmer than the American data in terms of week 1 HDDs. We…
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2-3-21 PM Energy Report: Major model volatility as early as next week. Discussing risks to the cold forecasts. B.
03
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-3-21 PM Energy Report: Major model volatility as early as next week. Discussing risks to the cold forecasts. B.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest PM Energy Report:  2-3-21 PM Energy-Report Week 1: The mid-day GEFS trended warmer ahead of a storm in the short-term days 5 -7, briefly. However, the EPS saw more notable, widespread and persistent warmer trends in the week 1 period. The EPS lost…
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2-3-21 Early AM Energy Report: Major arctic cold remains on tap next week. Analyzing model differences late week 2. B.
03
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-3-21 Early AM Energy Report: Major arctic cold remains on tap next week. Analyzing model differences late week 2. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  2-3-21 AM Energy Check Up Following substantial warmer trends in the short-term on the EPS yesterday, it trended colder on 0z coming back to reality a little bit with this pattern. We still think there are risks for storm induced…
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2-2-21 Early AM Energy Report: Major colder trends continue, memorable arctic blast for second week of February. B.
02
Feb
By Bret Walts

2-2-21 Early AM Energy Report: Major colder trends continue, memorable arctic blast for second week of February. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  *Note, we have trended our February GWHDD substantially colder given the persistent colder trends and the lobe of the Polar Vortex situated over North America. Details on the second slide.  2-2-21 AM Energy Check-Up The overnight data continued to trend…
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