There are still many moving parts with this forecast and we are still dealing with a large spread in model solutions on how the severe weather can play out. Please watch the video for a complete discussion on the threats/ uncertainty moving forward.
Here is a look at simulated radar from 8 AM ET this morning through 9 PM tonight.
Here is a look at simulated radar for the remainder of the night into tomorrow morning.
Here is the latest severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center. As mentioned above, there is uncertainty in the forecast. However, severe weather will be possible with all modes possible including large hail, strong winds, and tornadoes. More details in the video.
Here is a look at preferred rainfalls total through Friday. Wherever stronger storms can set up, 0.75″ – 1.25″ will be possible. Better chance for the southern 1/3 of the state to see higher amounts. Roughly the northern 1/3 of the state will see amounts around 0.4″ – 0.8″. Please watch video for complete discussion.
Windy conditions will be in store this afternoon. Here is a look at the sustained winds around 6 PM. Winds out of the southwest will blow at about 10 MPH – 20 MPH. Gust of 35 MPH – 45 MPH are not out of the question. Faster wind gust will be possible under stronger storms.
Winds will shift out of the northwest into tomorrow with continued windy conditions. Here is a look at the sustained winds around 2 PM tomorrow. Gust of 35 + MPH will still be possible at this time.