9-4-19 Northern Plains: Rain possible to the north/northeast late tonight…eyeing a much more active pattern into the weekend to early next week. K.

Today’s video:

Simulated radar guidance of the light showers anticipated to skirt the ND/Canadian border later this afternoon into this evening…key here is very light and scattered. These showers start to grow in coverage and intensity across NE ND after midnight tonight into north-central Minnesota by daybreak Thursday (an isolated strong storm here – wind and hail – can’t be ruled out)…expected to weaken and push east of the Duluth area by mid-afternoon. For all areas along and south of Bismarck to the southern half of Minnesota we stay completely dry here over the next 2 days:

Here’s our favored rainfall guidance below, suggesting a base of 0.25-0.75″ (locally higher amounts where the showers grow in intensity towards Grand Forks to Grand Rapids)…0.1-0.5″ outside of this main pulse of showers across northern to east ND to north-central MN:

Total rainfall guidance from Friday night through early next week shows the much different pattern that we have widespread across the area, especially for the Dakotas to central MN with 0.5-1.5″ possible for many of us as an aggregate, locally higher totals also on the table here as well:

Wind forecast guidance as we head into late work-week to the weekend:

Temperature outlooks over the next 2 weeks + discussion:

 

Precipitation outlooks over the next 2 weeks + discussion:

North Dakota:

Crosby:

Jamestown:

Fargo:

South Dakota:

Pierre:

Aberdeen:

Sioux Falls:

Minnesota:

Worthington:

Grand Rapids:

Minneapolis:

Rochester: