8-6-19 Western Plains: Storm cluster / heavy rainfall risks increasing east in the short-term…drier areas west see relief potential as well? Latest here! K.

Today’s video:

Observed rainfall over the past 24 hour:

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Here’s a quick snapshot of rainfall/storm risks over the net 2 days…please refer to the video for a highly detailed discussion and mention of the risks in the short-term. The best area of coverage looking like especially eastern Nebraska to eastern Kansas in a similar fashion to last week’s storm cluster evolution. Western to central KS seeing the better potential Wed afternoon to evening:

Favored rainfall potential over the next 2 days is below…the red circle is where we favor a base of 0.5-1.5″ (however, localized spots of 2-4″+ and localized flooding are on the table especially in eastern Kansas). The black circle representing the area we favor for more scattered 0.25-1.0″ risks (not everyone gets the heavier end of this range):

As the ridge starts to flex again to the south, we see a pattern return even more favorable to storm cluster risks:

Total rainfall potential over the next 5 days is below…especially SE NE to eastern Kansas we think it won’t be hard to accumulate another widespread 1.5-3″+…otherwise we think the remainder of the locations see the potential for 0.5-1.5″ across eastern CO to central KS and central NE as well…areas across far SW KS look to see more on the order of 0.25-0.75″:

Wind forecast guidance over the next 4 days:

Nebraska:

Scottsbluff:

North Platte:

O’neill:

Lincoln:

Kansas:

Colby:

Garden City:

Concordia:

Wichita: