Good Sunday Morning!
Today, we think the majority of Central IN will stay dry again with some widely scattered activity coming in the afternoon/evening hours. Below is a view of modeled simulated radar from 2 PM ET this afternoon until 10 PM this evening. We think the majority of the activity should stay in the northern third of the state, but cannot totally rule out a shower or storm sneaking further south into Central IN. This loop agrees with our general thoughts that these cells will not be extremely long lived and are primarily fueled by our daytime heating, meaning they should diminish as the sun goes down and as we work later into the evening and overnight:
Highs today in Indy should be in the upper 80s, right around 88:
Winds will be out of the North/Northwest at 5 to 10 mph, occasional gust to 15 mph:
Minus a few lingering, very isolated showers from the PM hours today, Sunday overnight into Monday and Monday morning look to stay dry across the state. Our next chance of precip is very isolated and looks to be similar to today, except the focus for these storms looks to shift a touch south. Below is simulated radar from 2 PM ET Monday until 10 PM ET Monday night. We can see that we have those very isolated storms fire up again in the afternoon, this time seeing a little more coverage in the Central part of the state:
Highs on Monday look to be pretty similar to today, right around 88/89 for the Indy metro area:
A look at rainfall guidance out through Monday evening at 8 PM ET. As shown in the guidance, these pop up storms are going to be very hit and miss and are certainly nothing to cancel plans for as it is extremely difficult to predict where exactly these storms will fire. Even this data may be a touch overdone with coverage, however we agree with the thought that anything that pops looks to be pretty scattered and nothing that is going to impact all of the state. We cant completely rule out something working South into the Indy area today, but we think the better chance of rain is tomorrow even though these chances are still pretty low given these are just isolated, pop ups storms:
Rainfall totals out through this Friday. We think our best shots for additional rain chances are Tue evening into Wed and again Thur afternoon into Fri. These do not look to washouts as we are only looking at precip totals in the 0.25-0.75 inches range for the Indy area:
As always, if you have any questions please do not hesitate to reach out to us at [email protected] ! Enjoy the rest of your Sunday!