Video:
Today’s forecast across the region:
A disturbance will work west to east from the Rockies into the western Kansas and central Nebraska Friday afternoon and night, shifting northeast into eastern Nebraska and west-central Iowa into Saturday. This will bring the risk of scattered storms. I would watch areas across northwest Kansas through central Nebraska for a strong to severe storm threat with some hail and wind. This would be mainly 4pm through midnight Friday night.
Here is a look at the rainfall forecast which goes through 1pm Saturday: Your best rainfall risks ~0.50-0.75″ with locally 1″ from central Nebraska through northwest Iowa:
The images below show the vorticity in the mid-levels of the atmosphere which helps us determine precipitation risks by seeing areas of rising/sinking air. I have circled the areas with the highest threat as we progress from Saturday through Wednesday of next week. Initially the northern areas see the storm risks, then the threat gradually shifts southward especially Tuesday into Wednesday.
Total rainfall through Wednesday of next week: Certainly a chance for areas across central/southern Iowa to get in on some much needed moisture. Confidence on rainfall greatly lowers across Missouri and Kansas. Certainly does not look as dry for this period as it did a few days ago!
10-Day Temperatures: As mentioned in the video…our initial idea of big heat next week is going to fail. We heat up heading through the weekend, then trending cooler as we progress through next week. That said, all indications are that things can really heat up towards next weekend and the following week. The 10-day temperature forecasts for Des Moines, IA, Jefferson City, MO, Lincoln, NE, and Wichita, KS are shown below.
High temperatures over the next 4 days:
Low temperatures over the next 4 days:
Dewpoints over the next 4 days:
Wind forecast over the next 4 days:
Weeks 1 and 2 temperatures from normal:
Weeks 1 and 2 precipitation from normal:
