Good Monday evening!
A current look at radar shows that we are totally dry across SD:
We are watching for a storm cluster to form in the overnight hours and mainly affect IA. The area outlined in yellow could see some scattered storms as this area will be very weakly organized before the main area starts to form in SE SD/ NW IA. To clarify, there is a decent portion of the area in yellow that will likely stay dry, but the risk is there for some showers and storms overnight before the cluster really gets organized. The best chances to see precip comes closer to Sioux Falls:
We do think this model may be a touch too aggressive with the coverage and intensity of showers and storms overnight, but we agree with the area that this precip developed in. As the loop goes on, we can see that the most likely area to see rain is in the far SE corner of the state . This is simulated radar from 7 PM CT this evening until 7 AM CT tomorrow morning:
Tomorrow during the day we think the state will mainly stay dry, there is a small chance of some pop ups in the central part of the state in the afternoon, but we don’t think these chances are high (<20%). Below is simulated radar from 1 PM CT tomorrow until 7 PM CT Tue evening:
To re-iterate, all of the area outlined in yellow in the image above will not see rain over the next 24 hours. There is a decent chance that much of that area stays dry, but we wanted to mention that the risk is there for precip in that area. The best overall shot at precip lies in SE SD :
Please do note hesitate to reach out to us at [email protected] if you have any questions! Enjoy the rest of your evening!