Today’s video:
Here’s our strong storm risk areas outlined in black circles for both tonight and tomorrow night, hazards being hail, strong winds and isolated tornadoes (no major outbreaks here, isolated to scattered in nature):
Here’s our favored simulated radar guidance that we showed in the video for scattered showers and storm coverage across North and South Dakota tonight (starting west ~5-7pm local, completely dry until then) into Thursday AM…a few of these storms may be strong to severe in the form of discrete supercells, capable of producing all modes of severe (damaging wind, iso large hail, iso tornadoes):
Total rainfall guidance from the HRRR model tonight into Thursday morning…the heavier threat of ~0.5-1.5″ being across the western Dakotas…totals lessoning and becoming more isolated to more 0.25-0.75″ further east:
We are favoring the GFS model for the storms to respark across far SE North Dakota, eastern South Dakota to central Minnesota…as mentioned above, a few of these may be locally strong to severe as well, push east and weakening by mid morning:
Total precipitation guidance tomorrow night into Thursday morning for the eastern Dakotas into Minnesota looking to average out ~0.25-0.5″ with localized higher totals are possible where strong storms may develop:
Wind forecast guidance over the next 4 days:
Watch today’s video above for our thoughts on weekend rain chances!
North Dakota:
Crosby:
Jamestown:
Fargo / Grand Forks:
South Dakota:
Pierre:
Aberdeen:
Sioux Falls:
Minnesota:
Worthington:
Grand Rapids:
Minneapolis:
Rochester:
