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Precipitation risks will increase from late Thursday through Friday as the upper-level ridge shifts southeast to Missouri, and allows a front to enter from the northwest. Here is a look at the set-up/rainfall potential through Friday afternoon.
As the upper ridge continues to get shoved south this weekend, this will allow scattered storm chances to increase. Still the best shot on Saturday will remain west Kansas to Nebraska and Iowa, then from Sunday afternoon through Monday looks to be the highest risk across the area. A west to east flow will allow for continued rainfall risks through the week next week. Here is a look at rainfall just through the next 7-days: I circled in red the areas where I have concerns to stay drier across central/east Kansas through southwest Missouri, while rain chances look solid at this point for Iowa and Nebraska from the weekend into next week.
Our week 1 precipitation from normal outlook shows this well.
Week 2 remains lower confidence due to conflicting forecast signals, but here is our current forecast for precipitation departures.
High temperatures over the next 4 days:
Low temperatures over the next 4 days:
Dewpoints over the next 4 days:
Wind forecast over the next 4 days: