7-1-19 Northern Plains: Stormy week ahead….details here. N.

Today’s video:

Good morning!  After heavy rainfall over the weekend across many locations, today’s focus in southern Minnesota where heavy, training storms look to set-up this evening.  We’ll also watch for a storm cluster in northwest North Dakota, but won’t be as heavy.  There will be more dry weather in the area tomorrow, with Minnesota likely to be totally dry. A few storms will develop in the Dakotas Tuesday, but a better threat comes in the Dakotas overnight Tuesday into Wednesday.  Another round comes Wednesday night, then another Thursday night. In between these main waves, it is more hit and miss chances.  

3 day observed precipitation precipitation from this weekend:

We do have southern MN to SE SD under an elevated risk for flash flooding and excessive rainfall today…a few areas may top 2-3″+ here as well with a “training” of storms likely:

Rainfall potential over the next 36 hours is below…right now we favor southern Minnesota from ~ Worthington to Minneapolis to Rochester for the threat fairly widespread 1.0-3.0″ given the slow nature of these storms. Elsewhere, hit or miss 0.1-0.5″ across northwestern ND:

Wind forecast guidance over the next 4 days:

Total precipitation guidance not including today into tonight, over the next 6-7 days is below…favoring the heaviest shift in rainfall potential of ~1.25-2.50″ across southern ND, SD and SW MN especially, otherwise favoring ~0.5-1.5″ across most other areas in ND to central MN. Drier areas are likely less than 0.5″ near the ND/MN/Canadian border:

North Dakota:

Minot:

Devils Lake:

Bismark:

South Dakota:

Aberdeen:

Pierre:

Sioux Falls:

Minnesota:

Rochester:

Grand Rapids:

Minneapolis: