6-5-19 Illinois: Severe storm threat later today….storm risks focus southwest late week….details here. N.

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Rainfall past 24 hours: Very heavy rains targeted northern Illinois overnight, and continue this morning.  We also had a round of storms into southwest Illinois.

Radar as of 5:30AM ET showing scattered storms, with several rounds moving across far northern Illinois, with the rest of the state starting to clear.

FORECAST RADAR 2PM-10PMCT: Storms will regenerate this afternoon over north-central Illinois, then should evolve into a storm cluster across central and southern Illinois.  Damaging wind is a concern with these, along with large hail.  

Today’s severe outlook:  Highest severe threat across central and southern Illinois.

Forecast rainfall through tonight: 0.25″ to 0.75″ with a few pockets of 1″+.  There will also be spots (especially west-central) that can stay drier.

Models trending drier for the weekend.  Best storm threat from a Quincy to Effingham and south line tomorrow and Friday.  Chances increase this weekend, but highest risks will be south.  Forecast confidence is lower than normal, but the trends have undoubtedly been drier.  Data still putting down fairly heavy amounts in southern Illinois.   Total rain next 7 days is below. 

Wind forecast over the next 4 days:

High/low temperatures over the next 10 days:

Chicago:

Peoria:

Effingham:

Carbondale:

Quincy: