4-23-18 Reds Forecast. Rain looks to be locked in this evening. Details here. M.
Quick discussion: A quasi-stationary cut off low pressure system will linger today and tomorrow and possibly into Wed. These cut off lows can wreak havoc on forecast model performance at times. With that being said we do believe we have a good handle on things today given radar and observations lining up with the data we are using (NAM 3). The forecast today will depend on the location of the surface low over the next 12hrs so, if that can pivot further east its possible the rain band could too so its just something we will need to watch over the course of the day. Details on the forecast into Wednesday still need to be ironed out as the area of low pressure looks to be slow to depart via the European data. If you have any questions let us know. Have a great week! M.