Good afternoon! Thanks for checking out today’s hazardous weather blog, brought to you by Mr. Quik Home Services out of Indianapolis! You can rely on Mr. Quik’s team of professionals for all your heating, cooling, plumbing, and electrical needs in your home! With the spring storm season here, basements and crawlspaces are prone to flooding. It would be a great time to get your sump pump inspected, or possibly get a new one installed to handle all the downpours this spring and summer! Call Mr. Quik at 317-468-9170. Read more about it at mrquikhomeservices.com. Be sure to “LIKE” Mr. Quik on Facebook, where BAM Wx provides daily updates: https://www.facebook.com/MisterQuik/.
Rather significant severe weather event expected across the Deep South later today. Severe weather occurred with this system over the southern Plains Wednesday. Here are storm reports over the past 24 hours:
Tornado watches have been hoisted for portions of southwest Mississippi and Louisiana as of 3pm ET.
Severe storms are associated with a very large trough digging across the central U.S. This trough is scooping up plenty of Gulf moisture and bringing favorable wind shear for severe weather.
Looking at a tool that looks at significant tornado ingredients, we see rather high probabilities over portions of southern Mississippi and east-central Louisiana.
Latest forecast radar from 1pm today to 4am Friday shows intense storms developing across these areas this afternoon, congealing into a squall line that works into Alabama tonight:
Here is a tool showing where rotating storms may track over the next 18 hours: Notice the emphasis in Mississippi and Louisiana:
The threat will shift east on Friday to the southeast coast:
This system is going to bring chilly and wet conditions for the south and east through the first half of the weekend. With this cold core of air aloft, there will be snows for the Appalachian mountains, with the potential of some wet snows to mix in across parts of the Ohio Valley Friday night into Saturday!
This system also brings a LOT of rain from the South through the Ohio Valley region through Saturday.
Beyond this system, very warm air takes over the central U.S. this weekend, and overall warm air looks to takeover much of the country next week and beyond.
Here at BAM we have spent the past several weeks (and months) researching what to expect for the summer by constructing analogs based on similar evolution of ENSO and other atmospheric drivers in the U.S. We are currently in an El Nino. We will discuss if El Nino sticks around through summer and what that means for our weather. Not all aspects of our weather have behaved like a typical El Nino so far. 🙂 I’ll give you a hint at what we are looking at, but this is NOT our official forecast! The maps below show temperatures and precipitation from normal during years with an El Nino in the spring that carried over through the summer. We will reveal what years those were in our webinar next Wednesday!
Sign-up link to our FREE summer webinar: bamwx.com/webinar.
We are offering a FREE trial now through next Tuesday for our state and long-range forecasts. Get a good idea of what we have to offer and know that one of the biggest benefits is being able to contact a meteorologist anytime 24/7. We are always watching out for our clients! Inquire for our service or free trial: [email protected] or bamwx.com/contact-us
Why would I pay for a weather service when I can get free weather on my phone? Relying on free weather information such as free, automated weather apps is not practical if you want to run a successful business. They are solely based on raw computer model output with zero human element. These free apps also have a tendency to send you erroneous alerts about rain or snow coming, even when there isn’t a cloud in the sky! I can’t count with my own fingers how many times I get incorrect snow/rain alerts to my phone. I have more examples than this picture below, but I think you get the point.
What our service can provide you:
24/7 on-call meteorologist support: This is the HUGE benefit of our service!! Having your own personal meteorologists to contact 24/7 is key for sound business decisions whether it’s 3pm or 3am. We alway have a meteorologist on duty to get in immediate touch with! We truly enjoy communicating with our clients whether it’s a high-risk weather event or sunny and 75! We can assist you in every weather situation Mother Nature can bring us. The goal of this is to make your job easier! Stop stressing over a thunderstorm popping up on radar during your event. Have us on-call to tell you what to expect throughout the event.
Accuracy: We HAVE to do our very best to get every detail in a forecast correct. Every member of our team has a keen knowledge of weather patterns in the Ohio Valley. Each storm presents its own challenges. We strive to get every detail in a forecast correct from snow and ice accumulations down to freezing drizzle and fog, and of course, severe storms. We wouldn’t have a business if we didn’t hold ourselves accountable for getting the forecast correct. Knowing the fine-details in the forecast can be the difference between making $5000 or losing $5000. The time has come to quit guessing which local television/radio/app forecast is correct and waiting to check the latest local television forecast. This can take too much time and cause frustration. Think of it this way, it would be wiser to spend $1500 now on a weather service like ours than to lose $50,000 later because you were trying to guess the outcome.
We can also set-up a Thor Guard lightning prediction system at your event. This is better than most systems as this predicts conditions favorable for a lightning strike to alert you ahead of time, instead of other systems that alert you for a lightning strike that has already occurred.
You can inquire at bamwx.com/contact-us or [email protected].
Our commercial personal subscription will get you a daily, detailed local weather forecast (available anywhere in the central/northern Plains to the Ohio Valley), and a long-range forecast. Monthly outlooks out to 6 months always available, and long-range forecasts are updated daily with forecasts based on research and not just pure models. This + the on-call option gives you an amazing package of information and your own personal meteorologist which means you always know what to expect. It’s so much better than any weather packages you have seen before!
For weather enthusiasts who are just looking for updates during active weather, we also offer a $50 per year Midwest Extreme Weather subscription to keep you updated during active weather in the Midwest!!
