Video:
Good morning! Scattered showers will continue through the morning hours today…and the trend continues to slow down the exit of this disturbance…which means we are dealing with a shower risk much of the day. That said, it will be very widely scattered this afternoon, with the greater focus shifting into southeast Indiana toward the Cincinnati area. With the cold pocket of air aloft, don’t be shocked to see isolated pockets of small hail with these showers this afternoon, especially southeast. Note data is underdone on the rain coverage currently.
Total additional precipitation: Most areas a tenth inch or less, but notice the isolated heavier pockets in eastern Indiana where up to another half-inch may fall.
We clear skies out tonight with dry conditions. However, one more disturbance comes at us tomorrow, mainly during the morning. Moisture will be much more limited to just a few brief showers or snow flurries, mainly 6am to noon, and focused in the northeast half of the state. Not a big deal, with dry conditions expected Friday afternoon and night.
Wind forecast over the next 4 days: Note breezy conditions today and Friday, then a calm Saturday.
Saturday will be terrific with sunny skies! Colder morning that starts in the 20s, but ends in the upper 40s to middle 50s. Sun & not much wind will make it “feel” a lot better. We have MUCH better model agreement regarding our late weekend/early week system. Spotty showers will build in Sunday afternoon, with increasing rain coverage overnight Sunday through Monday. Temperatures will take a dip Monday afternoon as a front moves through, with rains exiting Monday evening. Overall, looks like the cold air will not catch up to the moisture in time to mix in anything wintry…thankfully. Even if it did, temps would be way above freezing. Dry air crashes in Monday night as strong high pressure builds in on Tuesday. Total rain right now looks to be generally 0.4″ to 0.8″. We will fine-tune this over the next few days.
As discussed in the video, quiet weather next Tuesday and Wednesday, then increasingly active late next week ahead of a developing storm system. This should bring a strong surge of warm air late next week, before cooler air comes back next weekend. Very up and down for sure! As we head into the first week of April, all signs point to the pattern being quite wet!
Temperature data over the next 10 days:
Indianapolis:
Fort Wayne:
Lafayette:
Bloomington:
Evansville:
