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The region is seeing a nice start to the day. Clouds will increase through the day across the south with showers building into southeast Kansas and southern Missouri from mid-afternoon through mid-evening. Missouri will be the focus for scattered showers tonight, with a few rumbles of thunder possible.
As a shallow cold air mass near the surface undercuts warmer air aloft, low stratus clouds/areas of fog will develop over northern/western Iowa into portions of Nebraska. Some freezing drizzle will be possible, especially eastern Nebraska and northern Iowa for Wednesday morning. Look at the temperature gradient across the region for tomorrow morning!
Another system will work across Missouri Wednesday night bringing additional showers here, before exiting Thursday morning. Want to note latest data has greatly decreased the risk for backside snow in Iowa early Thursday. Now the data shows very little precipitation in northern Iowa, with snow chances generally staying over Wisconsin into Michigan. This is due to the system trending weaker. Iowa has had its share of snow this month, so I’m sure you aren’t complaining. 🙂 We’ll monitor the trends for any changes to that.
Rain totals of 0.3″ to 0.6″ across central Missouri, while the boot heel gets another 1-2″. Outside of Missouri, most areas see very little moisture.
High pressure returns Thursday bringing lots of sunshine area-wide. Nice weather sticks around through Saturday, along with a warming trend for the weekend. Another system arrives Sunday into Monday bringing the next chance for precipitation. GFS model Sunday through Monday shown below:
Weeks 1 and 2 outlooks: