Video (5 min):
The Storm Prediction Center added a marginal risk for a few gusty storms capable of gusty winds and perhaps a brief spin-up. This was added due to enough instability building with peeks of sun and wind energy in play.
Forecast radar from 3pm today to 11am Friday is shown below. I think storms will develop after 6pm, with 7pm to 2am CT being our main time-frame to watch for locally strong storms, tending to weaken after midnight. Beyond that, it will be more of a heavy rain concern for far southern portions of the state into the pre-dawn of Friday.
Here is the latest rainfall guidance through tomorrow morning. Notice some differences in the data regarding amounts, but similar in placement of a heavier band near Salem to Olney where 1-2″+ is very possible. Watch for a local flash flood threat here. Note rain totals are drastically less north, where many spots only see a few hundredths as you will not see any storms.
