10-25-19 Tovar Chicago: Rain increases Saturday afternoon…discussing our first possible wintry weather event mid-next week. K.

Today’s video:

Timing of rain’s arrival Saturday:

 

Widespread rain Saturday afternoon-Saturday night.  Right now favoring 0.8-1.2″ for the Chicago metro locations on total rainfall:

Wind forecast over the next 4 days:

The pulse on Tuesday, like mentioned in the video, regarding wintry weather is looking to be more from Dubuque to Stevens Point, WI and not Chicago…here’s our custom days 3-7 impactful weather hazards graphic highlighting this:

Details definitely need fine-tuned with this, but data at this distance has the Chicago metro area seeing our first flakes fly next Thursday afternoon to evening…right now too far out to discuss accumulation-potential with any confidence:

What we do have confidence in, however, is that temps next Friday morning will be well below freezing so an elevated risk for a refreeze is starting to concern us…here’s a look at the European model low temp guidance for next Friday morning below:

Temperature forecasts:

Chicago: