Good Tuesday Morning! Below is your latest forecast update:
Current temps:
We are watching for some very light precip chances that look to slide across the far northern counties today. We do not expect accumulation with this given the drier air aloft and stronger surface winds. Sim radar from 10 AM ET today through Midnight tonight:
Wednesday early morning looks to be a similar situation, a few light flurries/snow showers are possible in the AM but this does not look to be very imapctful- please watch video for latest thoughts. Sim radar from 3 AM ET Wed to 10 AM ET Wed:
All eyes turn to the heavy waves of rain working into the area starting Thursday PM and lasting through Sunday morning:
Flooding is certainly likely given the high precip totals and this being a long stretched event. We have high confidence in statewide 2-5 inches of rain with the best chances of seeing more than 5 inches of rain coming South of I-70 (click image to zoom in):
Still high uncertainty on snow totals as there are many factors that will play into any snow potential. 3 global models and their snowfall solutions are shown below (click to zoom in):
On the left we have the top 15 analogs for this system with snowfall accumulation on the top left and rainfall on the bottom left. The most useful analog in terms of a similar system is early Jan 2005, rainfall is top center and snowfall is the bottom center image from that event. Our preferred model is the NBM, snowfall on the top right and rainfall on the bottom right. Be sure to check back often as models are likely to adjust:
Wind panel over the next 4 days:
Temperature charts over the next 10 days:
Kokomo:
