Good Tuesday Morning! Below is your latest Midwest Extreme update:
All eyes are focused on the heavy waves of rain/snow working into the area starting Thursday PM and lasting through Sunday morning:
Flooding is certainly likely given the high precip totals and this being a long stretched event. We have high confidence in areawide 2-5 inches of rain with the best chances of seeing more than 5 inches of rain coming in the southern parts of IN/IL (click image to zoom in):
Still high uncertainty on snow totals as there are many factors that will play into any snow potential. 3 global models and their snowfall solutions are shown below (click to zoom in):
On the left we have the top 15 analogs for this system with snowfall accumulation on the top left and rainfall on the bottom left. The most useful analog in terms of a similar system is early Jan 2005, rainfall is top center and snowfall is the bottom center image from that event. Our preferred model is the NBM, snowfall on the top right and rainfall on the bottom right. Be sure to check back often as models are likely to adjust:
Wind panel over the next 4 days:
Temperature charts over the next 10 days:
Fort Wayne, IN:
Indianapolis, IN:
Chicago, IL:
Springfield, IL:
St. Louis, MO:
Columbus, OH:
Cincinnati, OH:
