Kirk Hinz – Page 242

Jul

7-11-19 Long-range: Updated tropical influences, big warmer / drier response into mid-July…discussing risks to the August forecast. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xjf81L1xzXg&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-11-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Confidence increasing for landfall of Barry this Saturday. Extremely heavy rain and major flooding issues likely including already flood-prone areas like New Orleans. Moisture from Barry as a post-tropical cyclone likely to surge…

7-11-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Updated tropical discussion…updated thoughts on this warmer/drier pattern ahead for many. K.

Jul

By Kirk Hinz

7-11-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Updated tropical discussion…updated thoughts on this warmer/drier pattern ahead for many. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-11-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Rainfall over the past 24 hours was more sporadic than the first half of the week, with scattered rains of ~0.75-1.5”+ noted across the Ohio Valley to parts of…

7-10-19 Northern Plains: Windy and cooler into Thursday – hit and miss storm chances this weekend. N.

Jul

By Kirk Hinz

7-10-19 Northern Plains: Windy and cooler into Thursday – hit and miss storm chances this weekend. N.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/yC5DElxPMZU?hd=1 Observed rainfall over the past 24 hours...with very heavy rainfall noted especially across NW ND: Storm reports over the past 24 hours...a few tornado and damaging wind reports near the ND/SD and MN border: Latest simulated radar guidance keeps some pesky light showers on and off around…

7-10-19 Long-range: Updated tropical system implications over the next 7-10 days + latest thoughts on when this warmer/drier period can break ahead. K.

Jul

By Kirk Hinz

7-10-19 Long-range: Updated tropical system implications over the next 7-10 days + latest thoughts on when this warmer/drier period can break ahead. K.

***No updated video analysis today, please refer to yesterday's video for ideas on the pattern progression ahead as that remains unchanged. Make sure to check out, however, the updated notes slide below on our latest thoughts on this El Nino moving forward at the bottom of the page or in the PDF…

7-10-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Updated Gulf tropical influences into next week…dissecting the tricky pattern mid / late July. K.

Jul

By Kirk Hinz

7-10-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Updated Gulf tropical influences into next week…dissecting the tricky pattern mid / late July. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-10-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Rainfall over the past 24 hours was focused heaviest across NW ND to the southern Canadian Prairies with widespread 2.0-4.0”+ was noted…and a generally ~0.5-1.5” across the rest of…

7-9-19 Northern Plains: Targeting additional heavy rains + strong storm risks into Wednesday….calm weather arrives Thursday! N.

Jul

By Kirk Hinz

7-9-19 Northern Plains: Targeting additional heavy rains + strong storm risks into Wednesday….calm weather arrives Thursday! N.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/QTqDv6G445I?hd=1 Observed 24 hour rainfall noting some localized very heavy rainfall of 2.0-4.0"+ already fallen across the area: Storm reports noted across the area over the past 24 hours as well...all modes of severe have been noted: Simulated radar guidance over the next day is below...favoring additional localized…

7-9-19 Long-range: Updated “Barry” tropical influences ahead. Watching late July cooler risks. M.

Jul

By Kirk Hinz

7-9-19 Long-range: Updated “Barry” tropical influences ahead. Watching late July cooler risks. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Apcm7zdHSQ0&feature=youtu.be PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-9-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Continuing to keep a very close eye on the potential development of Tropical Storm Barry in the Gulf of Mexico in the week 1 period. Where this tracks will have big impacts on…

7-9-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Watching very closely potential tropical influences into mid-July…discussing impacts here. K.

Jul

By Kirk Hinz

7-9-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Watching very closely potential tropical influences into mid-July…discussing impacts here. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-9-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Rainfall over the past 24 hours was focused especially across the western Plains from Kansas, Nebraska (heaviest), and parts of the Dakotas / northern Minnesota. Totals ranged 2-4”+ heaviest…

7-8-19 Northern Plains: Stormy start to the week….briefly drier pattern Wed-Fri. N.

Jul

By Kirk Hinz

7-8-19 Northern Plains: Stormy start to the week….briefly drier pattern Wed-Fri. N.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/WndnCDCog9E?hd=1 Simulated radar today into tomorrow afternoon: Total precipitation over the next 7 days: Here's a look at today's severe weather outlook: Observed precipitation this weekend through this morning: Wind forecast guidance over the next 4 days is below: North Dakota: South Dakota: Minnesota: If you have any…

7-8-19 Long-range: A very fluid pattern ahead with several moving parts. Details here. M.

Jul

By Kirk Hinz

7-8-19 Long-range: A very fluid pattern ahead with several moving parts. Details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MHDCQgaghU4&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-8-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: No doubt models have continued with warmer trends over the weekend likely due to a falling AAM to a notably –AAM state. This was very poorly modeled by data – in fact the…