Today’s Video:
Good morning everyone! As previously discussed, areas of dense fog were able to develop late last night into this morning, resulting in Dense Fog Advisories being issued across the eastern portions of the Dakotas. The bulk of these advisories run until 12pm CDT when the fog becomes less prevalent.
Simulated radar through 1am CDT Sunday: A few isolated showers remain in southeastern ND this morning, though should progress eastward into the afternoon. Elsewhere, very spotty showers will be possible before development occurs along a developing boundary in southeastern/east-central SD where scattered showers and perhaps a few storms fire mainly after mid-afternoon. This activity lifts eastward into southern MN before sunrise Saturday morning. Watch for scattered showers to develop in western ND after midnight tonight working eastward but remaining widely scattered in nature during the day Saturday across ND. Spotty showers and/or a few isolated storms will develop in SD later in the day Saturday but even into Saturday night, the coverage remains rather isolated to widely scattered, shifting east into MN by Sunday afternoon. Better forcing from the low pressure system working in this weekend will reside in the far eastern Dakotas where 0.1-0.5″ of rain is likely with locally higher amounts approaching 0.75″. Rain totals will be scattered further west and generally 0.1-0.2″ or less. Some may squeak by with little measurable precipitation.
The fog risks aren’t finished as Saturday and Sunday morning both feature the potential for fog once again: eastern ND into northern SD Saturday morning and northern ND and the far eastern Dakotas into Sunday morning. Most of this fog will be able to erode by late morning.
Watch for some upper-level energy clipping far northern ND Monday bring the risk for light shower activity. Since yesterday’s update, a majority of the guidance has trended less amplified with the mid-next week system, keeping a majority of the precipitation at least hugging far southern SD into the Central Plains. The European Model (not shown) is still further north and brings a heavier dose of snow to SD mid-week. However, current trends suggest this is too far north and will likely adjust south with time. Nothing is set in stone yet as fluctuations in this system’s track and intensity are likely. Something to keep in mind as adjustment will still be possible.
Total precipitation through the next 7 days: Definitely substantial differences between model guidance for this week’s precipitation. Pending the track of mid-week’s system, the area can stay drier for mid-week (American Model approach) while the European still brings that heavy band of snow. Again, precipitation will be skewed based on this system but as of right now we favor the American Model’s solution with heavier precipitation remaining just south.
Here’s a look at temperatures over the next four days:
Wind forecast over the next four days:
Here’s a look at the city charts for Bismarck, Pierre and Sioux Falls:
