Live blog on 12Z EPS trends.
Live blog on 12Z EPS trends.
19
Dec
19
Dec
12-19-18 PM Energy Report: Increased blocking, colder changes on 12z GEFS. B.
Good afternoon, here's a look at our Holiday Schedule for this weekend and early next week! Here is the latest PM Energy Check-Up. *Note* this is data from the GEFS, the maps are not our official forecast. For our official outlooks, please see our GWHDD forecast in the report below or…
19
Dec
12-19-18 Long-range: Updated stratospheric warming event research and potential impacts to the January pattern. K.
***No updated video today...below is our research this morning showing central-based El Nino's that featured a sudden stratospheric warming event. 2 of these 3 years (1970,2004 January) showed similarities in the angular momentum. The takeaway here is, the SSWe resulting in a "split" of the Polar Vortex in these years (1970,…
19
Dec
12-19-18 Early AM Energy Report: Cooler trends continue overnight… latest thoughts into 2019. B.
Good morning. Your latest early AM energy check-up is below...please let us know if you have any questions. Have a blessed day! -Bret 12-19 AM Energy Check-Up Forecast Blurb: Warmth persists for the week 1 period related to the propagation of the MJO past phase 3 and into phase 4…
18
Dec
12-18-18 PM Energy Report: Notable mid-day cooler trends… MJO progression key into 2019. B.
Good afternoon, here's a look at our Holiday Schedule for this weekend and early next week! Here is the latest PM Energy Check-Up. *Note* this is data from the GEFS, the maps are not our official forecast. For our official outlooks, please see our GWHDD forecast in the report below or…
18
Dec
18
Dec
12-18-18 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 forecast…flip-flop alert on ECMWF Weeklies. K.
Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SU-eB23LpN4 PDF slides (click link below to open in HD): 12-18-18 Long-Range Analysis Images: Synopsis: Split flow continues to lead to a quiet pattern for the Central US in week 1. A storm system will phase later this week and lead to rain risks in the Eastern Ohio…
18
Dec
12-18-18 Early AM Energy Report: Diving into reasoning behind continued warm period, effects of late-month active pattern. B.
Good morning. Your latest early AM energy check-up is below...please let us know if you have any questions. Have a blessed day! -Bret 12-18 AM Energy Check-Up Forecast Blurb: Week 1 remains well below normal in heating demand as we continue to feel the lagged effects of MJO Phases ¾…
17
Dec
12-17-18 PM Energy Report: Discussing latest model changes next 2 weeks + updated research on Jan/Feb. N.
Good afternoon! Here is the latest PM Energy Check-Up. You will also find below some fascinating research regarding similar Central Pacific (Modoki) El Nino years showing a common theme of a mild spell in December as we are seeing now, and how they progressed in Jan and Feb. Be sure to…