1-14-20 12z GEFS Energy Live Blog
Energy Live Chat
14
Jan
14
Jan
1-14-20 Long Range: Warm risks outweigh the colder ones. Heres why. M.
Today's Video: https://youtu.be/LQnP2DB6iNA Hi-Res PDF: 1-14-20 Long Range Analysis A few weak waves of precipitation then next couple of days in the Central and Eastern US but lack of phasing prevents major storm threats. Better chance for an organized system looks to come on Saturday with accumulating snow potential on…
14
Jan
1-14-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing impending cooler pattern and risks to the length/intensity of that pattern. B.
Good morning everyone! Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 1-14-20 AM Energy Check-Up A pattern change fully arrives by the end of the week 1 period and HDDs finally rise above normal for several days into the week 2 period. As a result we will continue to rise HDDs…
13
Jan
1-13-20 PM Energy Report: Warmer trends in week 2 on mid-day GEFS. B.
Good afternoon! Your latest PM Energy Report is below: 1-13-20 PM Energy Check up Week 1: The GEFS gained several points in week 1, creating an even bigger spread in the warm EPS/NBM data and the American data. Given the better cold air source with the storm system later this…
13
Jan
13
Jan
1-13-20 Long Range: Breaking down multiple warmer risks to the pattern into February. B.
Good morning everyone! Today's Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueDFUPc8quM&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Hi-Res Long Range PDF: 1-13-20 Long Range Analysis A few weak waves of precipitation then next couple of days in the Central and Eastern US but lack of phasing prevents major storm threats. Better chance for an organized system looks to come on Saturday…
13
Jan
1-13-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing cooler pattern drivers in the medium-term and risks into February. B.
Good morning everyone. Your latest AM Energy Report is below! 1-13-20 AM Energy Check-Up
12
Jan
1-12-20 Week Ahead Outlook: Discussing the duration and risks to cooler pattern. B.
Good afternoon! Your latest week ahead outlook is below: 1-12 Week Ahead Outlook Temperatures: The week 1 period sees a clear MJO phases 6/7 influence with strong warmth continuing in the East/Southeast US. However, the cold building in the Pacific Northwest is anticipated to spill eastward as the Pacific Jet…
10
Jan
1-10-20 PM Energy Report: Analysis of colder pattern for late January. B.
Good afternoon everyone. Your latest PM Energy Report is below: 1-10-20 PM Energy Check up Week 1: The GEFS lost 9 points in Week 1 as we warmed considerably across the CONUS. We agree with these trends because we were ~14 points cooler than the GEFS and were more on…
10
Jan
1-10-20 Long-range: Data continues to trend colder into late January…sharing latest week’s 3/4 forecasts + research. M.
Today's video: https://youtu.be/Xqnp5BpNfWU PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): Key Points: Excessive rainfall likely from Texas to the Ohio Valley through Saturday. Many areas will exceed 3-5” of rainfall in a 2-3 day period. Wintry accumulation likely from the Southern Plains to the Upper-Great Lakes.…