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Energy

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1-17-20 Early AM Energy Report: Warm pattern taking hold to close January. B.
17
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-17-20 Early AM Energy Report: Warm pattern taking hold to close January. B.

Good morning everyone! Your latest AM Energy Report is below:  1-17 AM Energy Check-Up The EPS has lost another ~30 points over the past two runs – mostly on the 12z run yesterday, thus the 12 hour trends are a little misleading as data has generally trended much warmer since…
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1-16-20 PM Energy Report: Steady warmer trends persist on mid-day GEFS. B.
16
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-16-20 PM Energy Report: Steady warmer trends persist on mid-day GEFS. B.

Good afternoon! Your latest PM Energy Report is below:  1-16 PM Energy Check up Week 1:  The GEFS lost another 2.5 points in week 1 further taking a step towards our forecast. With it’s cold bias we have no reason to believe it won’t continue to see steady warmer trends. …
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16
Jan
By Matt Griffin

1-16-20 Live 12z GEFS Live Blog. MG.

     Energy Live Chat   
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1-16-20 Long Range: Updated February forecast…discussing the latest pattern drivers & risks ahead. K.
16
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-16-20 Long Range: Updated February forecast…discussing the latest pattern drivers & risks ahead. K.

*No updated video analysis today. PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 1-16-20 Long Range Analysis Still sorting out the details of the winter storm late tomorrow into Saturday for the Great Lakes and Midwest. Good chances for heavy snow in the Upper-Midwest, areas like Chicago…
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1-16-20 Early AM Energy Report: No major adjustments overnight, forecast remains unchanged. B.
16
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-16-20 Early AM Energy Report: No major adjustments overnight, forecast remains unchanged. B.

Good morning everyone! Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  1-16-20 AM Energy Check-Up No big model changes overnight with slight warmer trends in the 5-10 day period for both the EPS/GEFS. This continues a consistent theme of data getting warmer as we get closer to the forecast period. Both…
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1-15-20 PM Energy Report: GEFS sees gradual warmer trends on the mid-day run. B.
15
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-15-20 PM Energy Report: GEFS sees gradual warmer trends on the mid-day run. B.

Good afternoon! Your latest PM Energy Report is below:  1-15 PM Energy Check up Week 1:  The GEFS lost two points in week 1 to make it a step closer to our forecast.  Given it still appears to be correcting with the strength and duration of the next cold blast…
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15
Jan
By Matt Griffin

1-15-20 12z GEFS Energy Live Blog.

     Energy Live Chat   
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1-15-20 Long Range: Warm risks continue to increase for February. Latest thoughts here. B.
15
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-15-20 Long Range: Warm risks continue to increase for February. Latest thoughts here. B.

Today's Video:  http://youtu.be/l8WbwcgDVS4?hd=1 Hi-Res PDF Slides: 1-15-20 Long Range Analysis Better chance for an organized system looks to come on Saturday with accumulating snow potential on the table especially in the Upper-Midwest/Great Lakes.  Following a drier period to close week 1 into week 2, the sub-tropical jet will increase activity…
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1-15-20 Early AM Energy Report: Major warmer trends over the last 24 hours. Sustained cold remains difficult to come by. B.
15
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-15-20 Early AM Energy Report: Major warmer trends over the last 24 hours. Sustained cold remains difficult to come by. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  1-15-20 AM Energy Check-Up We’ve seen major changes especially on the EPS data over the past two runs. The EPS has lost more than 30 points since 0z yesterday and the model average for week 2 has dropped from 244…
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1-14-20 PM Energy Report: GEFS remains relatively steady, no changes to our forecast thoughts. B.
14
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-14-20 PM Energy Report: GEFS remains relatively steady, no changes to our forecast thoughts. B.

Good afternoon! Below is your latest PM Energy Report:  1-14 PM Energy Check up Week 1:  A slight drop in HDDS in week 1, but generally the mid-day GEFS was steady with it’s forecast.  We continue to favor the warmer solutions for week 1 with the cold bias on data. …
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