Energy – Page 408 – BAM Weather

12-17-19 Long Range: Warm week 2 forecast. Discussing re-development of the MJO and impact on the pattern into January. B.

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Dec

12-17-19 Long Range: Warm week 2 forecast. Discussing re-development of the MJO and impact on the pattern into January. B.

No new video update today... please read the in-depth discussion below. New video update tomorrow! Thank you and for those dealing with snow today drive safe and stay warm! Hi-Res PDF: 12-17 Long-Range Analysis Very inactive pattern for the majority of the country the next 7 days with little to no precipitation chances.…

12-17-19 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing the warmer risks associated with tropical forcing. B.

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Dec

By Bret Walts

12-17-19 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing the warmer risks associated with tropical forcing. B.

Good morning everyone! Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 12-17 AM Energy Check Up Week 1 continues to run cooler than normal for HDDs as we persist with below normal temperatures on the East Coast. The GEFS has continued to have a cold bias in the week 1 period…

12-16-19 PM Energy Report: GEFS remains relatively steady on mid-day run. B.

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Dec

By Bret Walts

12-16-19 PM Energy Report: GEFS remains relatively steady on mid-day run. B.

Below is your PM Energy Report: 12-16 PM Energy Check-up Week 1: Some slight cooler trends in the week 1 period in the South-Central US. Overall we made no major changes to our forecast – though we do acknowledge that snow in the OHV will be heavier than ensembles originally…

12-16-19 Long Range: Warmer in week 2, but still keeping a close eye on a flip to cold into 2020. B.

16

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-16-19 Long Range: Warmer in week 2, but still keeping a close eye on a flip to cold into 2020. B.

Today's Video: https://player.vimeo.com/video/379771904 Hi-Res PDF Version of Notes: 12-16 Long Range Analysis Another band of heavy snow across the Ohio Valley along I-70 tonight. Following this storm system, the pattern will become much less active for much of the CONUS. Warmer air will spread from west to east late week…

12-16-19 Early AM Energy Report: Weekend warmer trends on model data. Discussing warmer risks for heating demand leading up to Christmas. B.

16

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-16-19 Early AM Energy Report: Weekend warmer trends on model data. Discussing warmer risks for heating demand leading up to Christmas. B.

Good morning everyone! Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 12-16 AM Energy Check-Up Cooler than normal week 1 period especially in the Northeastern US and into the South-Central US. Warmer temperatures will spread eastward throughout the week from the Pacific NW following a cold start to the week in…

12-15-19 Week Ahead: Data remains warm in the extended range, but high latitude blocking persists. B.

15

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-15-19 Week Ahead: Data remains warm in the extended range, but high latitude blocking persists. B.

Here is your latest week ahead discussion: 12-15 Week Ahead Outlook Temperatures: The week 1 period will end up much cooler across the Central US than the EPS suggested this time last week. Major high-latitude blocking is anticipated to setup in the North Atlantic which will help keep the NE…

13

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-13-19 PM Energy Check-up: Thoughts on GEFS trends with latest details on upcoming weeks 1 & 2.V.

Good Friday afternoon! Below is your latest PM Energy Check-up! Have a blessed weekend! HD Link:12-13-19 PM Energy Week 1: •GEFS lost 5 points in week 1 with warmer trends across much of the US. •It does not surprise us to see these trends given how the model has been…

13

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-13-19 LIVE 12z GEFS Blog

https://bamwx.com/energy-live-chat/

12-13-19 Long-range: Ignoring weather models at this rate & here is why. M.

13

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-13-19 Long-range: Ignoring weather models at this rate & here is why. M.

Today's video: https://vimeo.com/379236670 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 12-13-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Data has begun to converge on a solution for Sunday/Monday with increasing likelihood of accumulating snow in the Missouri and Ohio Valley regions. A poleward shift of the jet is favored…

12-13-19 Early AM Energy Report: Major warming trends on overnight data. Discussing recent model accuracy and our thoughts for week 2. B.

13

Dec

By Bret Walts

12-13-19 Early AM Energy Report: Major warming trends on overnight data. Discussing recent model accuracy and our thoughts for week 2. B.

Here is today's AM Energy Check-Up: 12-13 AM Energy Check Up Major warmer trends on the overnight data across the Central and Eastern US. The latest runs of the data have trended stronger with the +EPO with a much more robust influence of the Pacific Jet and mild Pacific air…