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1-11-21 South America: Recapping weekend rains, rainfall potential next 2 weeks + eyeing potential pattern change in the extended. K.
11
Jan
By Vince Bryan

1-11-21 South America: Recapping weekend rains, rainfall potential next 2 weeks + eyeing potential pattern change in the extended. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/t_pgXyOa-Mk?hd=1 Weekend rainfall observations: Week 1 updated outlooks: Week 2 updated outlooks:
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1-10-21 Week Ahead Report: Major differences in week 2 model data. Discussing risks and details here. B.
10
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-10-21 Week Ahead Report: Major differences in week 2 model data. Discussing risks and details here. B.

Good afternoon. Below is your latest week ahead report:  1-10-21 Week Ahead Outlook Temperatures:  Week 1: temperatures from normal over the next week will be widespread above normal across the northern half of the US, especially focused in the northern Plains to Northeast; a common theme dating all the way…
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08
Jan
By Vince Bryan

1-8-21 Long-range: Detailing EPO/NAO thoughts, active period for mid Jan, & sneak peek at the upcoming growing season.V.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/8AraTZ6ac_8?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in hi-definition): 1-8-21 Long Range Analysis Key Points: As higher pressure remains over much of the US, the 10-12th system is pushed south. However, over the next few days we will be on watch to see if…
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1-8-21 South America: Discussing model biases today & the precipitation pattern over the next 2-4 weeks. K.
08
Jan
By Vince Bryan

1-8-21 South America: Discussing model biases today & the precipitation pattern over the next 2-4 weeks. K.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/ir9QkotHW80 Observed rainfall over the past 24 hours: Our week 1 precipitation outlooks: Our week 2 precipitation outlook:
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07
Jan
By Vince Bryan

1-7-21 Long-range: Updated FEB Forecast + analyzing risks for pattern change into February.V.

*No updated video analysis today as our thoughts from yesterday remain up to date. We have updated our forecast slides below for your reference. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF report (click link to the right to open slides in hi-definition): 1-7-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: Higher pressure persists this…
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1-7-21 South America: Discussing modeled precipitation biases…sifting through the “noise” this morning. K.
07
Jan
By Vince Bryan

1-7-21 South America: Discussing modeled precipitation biases…sifting through the “noise” this morning. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/iWAPE95eHjU?hd=1 Week 1 outlooks: Week 2 outlooks:
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1-6-21 Long-range: Breaking down the risk for a more wintry pattern in the East mid-to-late Jan. K.
06
Jan
By Vince Bryan

1-6-21 Long-range: Breaking down the risk for a more wintry pattern in the East mid-to-late Jan. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/kG57phZO4z0?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in hi-definition): 01-06-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: Higher pressure develops this week with blocking forcing moisture southward and generally unorganized. +EPO and poleward jet continues to negate better phasing potential of storm systems. A few weak systems are…
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06
Jan
By Vince Bryan

1-6-21 Quick update on new soil moisture anomalies for South America. K.

I meant to include this in today's video and slides, but here's the latest soil moisture anomalies vs 1 month ago. As you can tell, quite a bit drier for both central Brazil and central Argentina at the root zone level, which should come as no surprise with how dry…
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06
Jan
By Vince Bryan

1-6-21 South America: Going into detail on the pattern potential over the next 3 months today. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/s-wgZd_Pwxk?hd=1 24hr observed rainfall: Week 1 updated precipitation forecast: Week 2 updated precipitation forecast:
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05
Jan
By Vince Bryan

1-5-21 Long-range: Discussing SSW impacts + latest weeks 3/4 forecast to end Jan.V.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/Aw4y_OKzDsY?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in hi - definition): 1-5-21 Long Range Analysis Key Points: Higher pressure develops this week with blocking forcing moisture southward and generally unorganized. +EPO and poleward jet continues to negate better phasing potential of storm systems. A few…
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