Becks – Page 343 – BAM Weather

1-18-21 South America: Recapping weekends rains + discussing latest precipitation trends into early February. K.

18

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-18-21 South America: Recapping weekends rains + discussing latest precipitation trends into early February. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/miOrqK_xv4g?hd=1 Weekend rainfall observations: Week 1 forecast: Week 2 forecast:

1-15-21 Long-range: Discussing volatile model trends and favored pattern evolution into February. B.

15

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-15-21 Long-range: Discussing volatile model trends and favored pattern evolution into February. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/hmMELAQfe8s?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 01-15-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: Model trends may be volatile late into Week 2, but generally expecting the warmer trends that have occurred the past week to persist as we get closer to the forecast dates.…

1-15-21 South America: Discussing some differences in our forecast vs latest model guidance today for pattern ahead. K.

15

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-15-21 South America: Discussing some differences in our forecast vs latest model guidance today for pattern ahead. K.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/XxQoezIwZhU Updated week 1 forecasts: Updated week 2 forecasts:

1-14-21 Long-range: Discussing the risks to using model data late week 2 + more active pattern likely into late January. B.

14

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-14-21 Long-range: Discussing the risks to using model data late week 2 + more active pattern likely into late January. B.

*No new video today as our thoughts from yesterday remain consistent. We continue to be cautious of volatile model runs suggesting cold especially for the last 3 - 4 days of the model run. Models are struggling with the lack of an arctic air source due to the main polar vortex…

1-14-21 South America: Sharing latest drought maps + discussing data starting to see our anticipated pattern change ahead. K.

14

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-14-21 South America: Sharing latest drought maps + discussing data starting to see our anticipated pattern change ahead. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/Cxrll-cyG3o?hd=1 Latest drought maps for Argentina and Brazil: Week 1 outlooks: Week 2 outlooks:

1-13-21 Long-range: Analyzing precipitation trends into late January. Looking ahead at analogs for spring/summer. B.

13

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-13-21 Long-range: Analyzing precipitation trends into late January. Looking ahead at analogs for spring/summer. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/3p9-rOnOt_8?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): 01-13-21 Long-Range Analysis Key Points: A train of “clipper systems” are anticipated throughout the next week or two. Due to the proximity of systems, tight pressure gradients produce high winds, concentrated in the central US over…

1-13-20 South America: Breaking down latest atmospheric drivers for pattern next 2 weeks. K.

13

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-13-20 South America: Breaking down latest atmospheric drivers for pattern next 2 weeks. K.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/AIkibIIwPC8 Latest 24 hour rainfall observations: Updated soil moisture anomalies vs 1 month ago: Week 1 forecasts: Week 2 forecasts:

1-12-21 Long-range: Pattern change arrives to close week 2. Updated week’s 3/4 forecast + discussing risks for a warmer February. B.

12

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-12-21 Long-range: Pattern change arrives to close week 2. Updated week’s 3/4 forecast + discussing risks for a warmer February. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/jCMo3RBrQUc?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in HD): Bret Long-Range Analysis 1-12 Key Points: A train of “clipper systems” is still anticipated across the northern US which will at least provide multiple chances for snow/ rain into these areas. The key for any bigger…

1-12-21 South America: Growing confidence on a pattern change late month to early February…sharing latest Weekly data. K.

12

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-12-21 South America: Growing confidence on a pattern change late month to early February…sharing latest Weekly data. K.

Today's video: https://youtu.be/ijubyrkRjWA Updated week 1 forecast: Updated week 2 forecast: Here's our favored model guidance for week's 3/4 (Jan 26-Feb 8)...you'll notice, both the Euro and CFS weekly models agree on this pattern change much drier for central Brazil, wetter for southern Brazil, Uruguay to Argentina:

11

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-11-21 Long-range: Lack of arctic air giving data issues in week 2. Discussing the risks and developing SE US ridge late January. B.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/nh0zvx8S7Cw?hd=1 PDF report (click link to the right to open in hi-definition): 1-11-21 Long Range Analysis Key Points: As expected this week’s precipitation chances will shift north with the development of weak clipper systems across the northern tier of the US following a few southern sliders over the…