Energy – Page 460 – BAM Weather

5-16-19 PM Energy Check-up: Subtle changes on the data so far…slight trend towards our extended forecast into lay May. K.

16

May

5-16-19 PM Energy Check-up: Subtle changes on the data so far…slight trend towards our extended forecast into lay May. K.

Your updated PM energy check-up and a new notes side is below. *As always, the GEFS run to run changes, or any model, does not always reflect our official forecasts. For those make sure to check out the discussions below and official weeks 1/2 forecasts. Have a blessed day! -Kirk…

5-16-19 Long-range: Updated pattern analysis next 2-4 weeks…discussing continued planting delays + above normal cooling demand ahead. K.

16

May

By Vince Bryan

5-16-19 Long-range: Updated pattern analysis next 2-4 weeks…discussing continued planting delays + above normal cooling demand ahead. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/5ykeQIEjrCU?hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 5-16-19 Long range analysis Weeks 1/2 temps: Discussion: Good model agreement and little model change overnight continues on our elevated confidence over the next 2 weeks with above normal cooling demand…warmer than normal temps placed in the East,…

5-16-19 Early AM Energy Check-up: Very close model agreement over the next 2 weeks…discussing pattern evolution into early June potential. K.

16

May

By Vince Bryan

5-16-19 Early AM Energy Check-up: Very close model agreement over the next 2 weeks…discussing pattern evolution into early June potential. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 5-16-19 AM Energy Check-Up Discussion: Good model agreement and little model change overnight continues on our elevated confidence over the next 2 weeks with above normal cooling demand…warmer than normal temps placed in the East, cooler…

5-15-19 PM Energy Check-up: Subtle changes on today’s data so far…updated pattern progression ahead. K.

15

May

By Vince Bryan

5-15-19 PM Energy Check-up: Subtle changes on today’s data so far…updated pattern progression ahead. K.

Your updated PM energy check-up and a new notes side is below. *As always, the GEFS run to run changes, or any model, does not always reflect our official forecasts. For those make sure to check out the discussions below and official weeks 1/2 forecasts. Have a blessed day! -Kirk…

5-15-19 Long-range: Updated weather forecast ahead vs current planting progress delays…warmth ahead continues to expand as well. K.

15

May

By Vince Bryan

5-15-19 Long-range: Updated weather forecast ahead vs current planting progress delays…warmth ahead continues to expand as well. K.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mjMUQAyq7rk&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 5-15-19 Long range analysis Key Points: Over the next 2 weeks we favor widespread above normal rainfall to be focused across the central to northern Plains especially. Discussing latest precipitation risks vs previous years where our seed planting…

5-15-19 Early AM Energy Check-up: More warmer changes on overnight data…does it last until late May? Latest details here. K.

15

May

By Vince Bryan

5-15-19 Early AM Energy Check-up: More warmer changes on overnight data…does it last until late May? Latest details here. K.

Warmer changes continue...have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 5-15-19 AM Energy Check-Up Discussion: Model agreement over the next 2 weeks as actually very close, hence our increase in our confidence in the week 2 forecast up from a 3 to a 4.…

5-14-19 Long-range: Historical evolution analogs & extensive analysis point to a very wet/cool growing season. Details here. M.

14

May

By Vince Bryan

5-14-19 Long-range: Historical evolution analogs & extensive analysis point to a very wet/cool growing season. Details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SpGygrKJmvM&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 5-14-19 Long-range analysis The analog shown above and in the long-range video also resembles very close to the positive AAM (atmospheric angular momentum - measure of the winds globally) pattern progression into June with a more southerly ridge…

5-14-19 Early AM Energy Check-up: Another day of warmer changes…discussing MJO influences & risks ahead. K.

14

May

By Vince Bryan

5-14-19 Early AM Energy Check-up: Another day of warmer changes…discussing MJO influences & risks ahead. K.

Warmer changes continue on the modeling...have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 5-14-19 AM Energy Check-Up Discussion: In short the models continue trend much above normal in both temperatures and cooling demand basically beyond 5-7 days well into the week 2 pattern. Carrying…

5-13-19 PM Energy Check-up: Discussing the MJO influences ahead & warmer-side risks into late May. K.

13

May

By Vince Bryan

5-13-19 PM Energy Check-up: Discussing the MJO influences ahead & warmer-side risks into late May. K.

Your updated PM energy check-up and a new notes side is below. * As always, the GEFS run to run changes, or any model, does not always reflect our official forecasts. For those make sure to check out the discussions below and official weeks 1/2 forecasts. Have a blessed day!…

5-13-19 Long-range: Warming forecast ahead deeper into May…updated ENSO progression & risks for summer. K.

13

May

By Vince Bryan

5-13-19 Long-range: Warming forecast ahead deeper into May…updated ENSO progression & risks for summer. K.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rc-aDTsXwTk&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 5-13-19 Long range analysis Temps weeks 1/2: Discussion: Obviously the big story this weekend was the major consistent warming on the modeling vs Friday’s solution, basically beyond the day 5 period all throughout week 2. In a lot…