Becks – Page 272 – BAM Weather

01

Dec

12-1-21 South America: Forecast thinking remains consistent moving forward. MG.

*No new video today with no major changes in forecast thinking moving forward. The video below is from this Monday: Monday's Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnYNolIvOps Week 1 Precipitation: Week 2 Precipitation: *Note: Only minor changes from Kirk's forecast on Monday. Have increased moisture risks in areas into southern Argentina as this is…

01

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-1-21 Long-range: Discussing the several risks to mid-late DEC forecast.V.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/RnRdwpqjvHI?hd=1 PDF report: --->click here to open slides in high definition<--- Key Points: The big story right now is volatile model data with big swings cold on the 6z GEFS and warm on the 0z EPS. These volatile changes, the west pacific typhoon and uncertainties about the MJO give…

29

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-29-21 SA: Discussing developing excessive dry risks ahead over the next 1-2 months. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/pnYNolIvOps?hd=1 Week 1 precip: Week 2 precip:

29

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-29-21 Long-range: Discussing warmth ahead + timing of potential pattern change deeper into Dec. M.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/7WRwfC_CXIU?hd=1 PDF report: --->click here to open slides in high definition<--- Key Points: Over the weekend, data continued to trend warmer with the roll forward of HDD as data lost between 7-11 points for what is now the week 1 period. The week 1 period will feature widespread…

24

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-24-21 Long-range: Sharing new December outlook. M.

From all of us at BAM, we want to wish you a very Happy Thanksgiving, we appreciate you all! -Kirk Today's video: https://youtu.be/k9KW8iPXR9I Thanksgiving forecast update schedule: PDF report: --->Click here to open in high definition<--- Key Points: No major weather events for Thanksgiving travel over the next few days.…

24

Nov

By Matt Griffin

11-24-21 SA: La Nina influence expanding… discussing potential shut-off of moisture ahead. K.

Here is our Thanksgiving Holiday Schedule (No new update THU/ FRI). Have a blessed Thanksgiving from all of us at BAM! -Matt Today's Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aUFY_hKa0bc Week 1 Precipitation: Week 2 Precipitation: December Precipitation Outlook: December to January Risk Map:

23

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-23-21 Long Range: Warmth spreads to close November, into December. Keeping an eye on key signals for mid-late December risks. B.

No new video today, same thoughts as yesterday. If you missed yesterday's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xsGAx1B3qd4 PDF report: 11-23-21LR Key Points: Want to be very clear that we do not agree with the overnight cooler trends of the EPS. While it is still very warm west and has average temps East, we think…

22

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-22-21 Long Range: In depth forecast thoughts for December.V.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/xsGAx1B3qd4?hd=1 PDF report: 11-22-21LongRange Key Points: A rather up and down pattern will continue through the weekend. Below average temps are expected through early week before a brief warmup mid-week that is followed by a Thanksgiving cold front. The cold front looks to produce a general 0.25…

22

Nov

By Vince Bryan

11-22-21 South America: Updated risk assessment heading into Dec/Jan. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/3b5RWtJYBmk?hd=1 Risk map going forward: Updated weeks 1/2 precipitation outlooks: Favored weeks 1/2 temperature outlooks:

19

Nov

By Matt Griffin

11-19-21 South America: Discussing drought concerns the next 2 months. MG.

Today's Video: http://youtu.be/mgc8xqCRmJQ?hd=1 Soil Moisture Drought Indicator: All La Nina's Since 2000 for Mid-Jan: Week 1 Precipitation: Week 2 Precipitation: Week 3/4 Precipitation: