Agriculture – Page 186

26

Jan

1-26-23 Long Range: Analysis of overnight warmer trends on model data.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 12623LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Almost all model data overnight trended much warmer as they are moving the MJO into phase 4 (warmer risk) and not lingering in Phase 3 (colder risk) as long. We still believe…

25

Jan

By Bret Walts

1-25-23 Long Range: Cold week 2 forecast remains consistent, some moderation late week 2 possible. B.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: ***No new video update this morning, no changes to our thoughts in the extended range. Please refer to our analysis yesterday for our most up to date thoughts!*** https://youtu.be/H6IEOcN59Dg Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 1_25_23_LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Some warmer air…

24

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-24-23 Long Range: Latest on how long colder pattern can last into February. B

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/H6IEOcN59Dg Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 12423LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: The end of the month will continue to bleed the below average temps eastward, with the Northeast US staying above average. The first 7-10 days of February are expected to be…

23

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-23-23 Long Range: Discussing colder trends over the weekend to start February, details here.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/bUXYq6fHxQY Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 12323LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Data has trended much colder for the week 2 timeframe with a colder start to February. Data has started to hone in on the MJO sitting/stalling in phase 3 vs moving…

22

Jan

By 15911man

1-22-23 Week Ahead Report: Active Pattern With Colder Risks to Start February. (WD).

Good evening! The Week 1 Period to close January will continue to remain active, with a major storm system moving across the C Plains into the midwest / northeast, resulting in widespread snow accumulations. Despite this, temperatures and heating demand expected to remain fairly average due to warmer air from…

20

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-20-23 Long Range: Wintry risks increasing, latest breakdown here.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/aosCij9C1N0 Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 12023LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Widespread warmth that has been around much of the E 2/3 of the country this month will gradually pull back over the next ~5 days and being more seasonable air…

19

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-19-23 Long Range: Discussion on late week 2 model differences.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/3ZX4EvEPiFk Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 11923LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Widespread warmth that has been around much of the E 2/3 of the country this month will gradually pull back over the next week and bring more below average temps into…

18

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-18-23 Long Range: Wintry risks increasing across the E US to end the month, latest thinking here.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/XJDBcufrsxg Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 11823LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Widespread warmth that has been around much of the E 2/3 of the country this month will gradually pull back over the next week and bring more below average temps into…

17

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-17-23 Long Range: In depth discussion of pattern evolution into mid February.V.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/BbU0utpsWOs Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 11723LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: We have raised out final Estimated JAN HDD forecast to 810, taking it to 3rd lowest (warmest) over the past 70 years. This is thanks to colder trends on data over…

16

Jan

By Vince Bryan

1-16-23 Long Range: Cold air arrives for Central and Western US next week. Active storm track continues. B.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/IJ8wd2WcxDM Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 11623LR Intro Slide: Temperatures: Data over the weekend has trended a bit cooler in the week 2 period as we work toward the very end of the month. Late Jan/early Feb has been a time…