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Author: Bret Walts

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19
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-19-23 PM Energy Report: Minor midday warmer trends on GEFS. BAM idea remains steady. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report:  1-19-23 PM Energy Check Up
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19
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-19-23 AM Energy Report: EPS much warmer, GEFS colder overnight. Analyzing the differences late week 2. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  NOTES: Big differences have arisen for late week 2 between the EPS and the GEFS. Warmer trends dominated the overnight EPS run while the GEFS got colder. We believe the primary reason for this difference is the MJO, with the…
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18
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-18-23 PM Energy Report: Warmer trends on mid-day data… GEFS dropping HDDs late week 2. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report:  NOTES: We need to keep a careful eye on late week 2 in the coming days. As we have been discussing in our videos, into February that southeast ridge risk can become more of an influence and on top of that…
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18
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-18-23 AM Energy Report: Warmer overnight EPS trends. HDDs still rising to close out January. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  NOTES: While there continues to be a general rise in HDDs as we exit some of our warmest temperatures, the roll forward from yesterday morning and afternoon runs has certainly been warmer. The EPS trended warmer for much of the US…
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17
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-17-23 PM Energy Report: Warmer GEFS trends, EPS continues to grow colder late week 2. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report:  1_17_23_PMEnergy
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17
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-17-23 AM Energy Report: Increasing demand to close out January. Discussing East Coast risks. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  NOTES: Data has continued to rise with HDDs for the last week of the month. The EPS and the GEFS in the 11 - 15 day timeframe are both more widespread with colder than normal temperatures with notable cold in the…
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13
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-13-23 AM Energy Report: Cooler air bleeds into Central and Western US. Discussing East Coast warmer risks. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  NOTES: The overnight data generally didn't change much for HDDs, but the GEFS did trend a bit warmer late week 2 lingering East Coast warmth longer. This is a continued concern in terms of seeing above normal heating demand as the…
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12
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-12-23 PM Energy Report: Warmer mid-day EPS trends. HDDs slowly rise late week 2. B.

Good afternoon everyone, below is your latest PM Energy Report:  1_12_23_PMEnergy
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12
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-12-23 Long Range: Details on western/central US cold risks late week 2 and risks for snowier late Jan pattern. B.

Good Morning! Here is your Latest Long Range Report: https://youtu.be/liT0RIzsd_8 Click here for Hi-Res PDF: 1_12_23_LRPDF Intro Slide: Temperatures: Our very warm January continues with HDD’s ~80 points below the average over the next 2 weeks combined. We are on track for the 2nd lowest (warmest) January in terms of…
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12
Jan
By Bret Walts

1-12-23 AM Energy Report: Colder risks increasing for Central/Western US. Latest analysis here. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report:  Notes: No major changes overnight, though both the EPS and the GEFS trended a little more towards a -EPO in the North Pacific but also lingered the southeast ridge longer. This increases the chances of Western/Central US colder air late…
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