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Author: Bret Walts

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11-21-19 PM Energy Report: Analyzing GEFS mid-day volatility. B.
21
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-21-19 PM Energy Report: Analyzing GEFS mid-day volatility. B.

Good afternoon!  Here is your latest PM Energy Report.  Have a blessed day!  -Matt 11-21 PM Energy Check-up Week 1:  A weak drop in HDDs in week 1 closer to our forecast. GEFS continues to correct it’s cold bias.  Major warmer trends began the last day or two of week…
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11-21-19 Early AM Energy Report: Active pattern will continue to influence heating demand. Week 2 idea remains steady. B.
21
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-21-19 Early AM Energy Report: Active pattern will continue to influence heating demand. Week 2 idea remains steady. B.

Good morning!  Here is your AM Energy Report!  Have a blessed day!  ~Bret 11-21 AM Energy Check-Up Overall, not any big changes in week 1 with a continued gradual increase in HDDs in part because of increasing climatology. GEFS continued to trend warmer in the SE in the short-term but likely…
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20
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-20-19 LIVE 12Z GEFS Energy Blog

https://bamwx.com/energy-live-chat/
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11-20-19 North Dakota: Additional snowfall today… quieter into the weekend. B.
20
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-20-19 North Dakota: Additional snowfall today… quieter into the weekend. B.

Today's Video:  http://youtu.be/WMrv5YSy0VU?hd=1 Simulated Radar today:  Additional snowfall: Wind the next 4 days: City Charts: 
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11-20-19 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing model biases and implications for the next two weeks. B.
20
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-20-19 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing model biases and implications for the next two weeks. B.

Good morning!  Here is your AM Energy Report!  Have a blessed day!  ~Bret 11-20 AM Energy Check-Up Week 1 HDDs remain steady while week 2 has risen a good bit from yesterday. Recently, the GEFS has had a bit of a cool bias and the EPS has performed better in week…
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19
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-19-19 PM Energy Report: Discussing the validity of mid-day GEFS colder trends. B.

Here's your latest PM Energy report below...have a blessed day! 11-19 PM Energy Check-up Week 1: General trends throughout week 1 were towards the EPS with warmer trends in the Eastern and Southeast US and some decent cooler trends in the Central US late in the week. The EPS definitely…
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11-19-19 Early AM Energy Report: Chaotic data trends continue. Analyzing warmer risks into early December. B.
19
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-19-19 Early AM Energy Report: Chaotic data trends continue. Analyzing warmer risks into early December. B.

Good morning!  Here is your AM Energy Report!  Have a blessed day!  ~Bret 11-19 AM Energy Check-Up For the week 1 period there remains a stark difference between the EPS/GEFS with the GEFS running about 10 points colder. Given the week 1 warm bias on the EPS we will certainly stay…
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11-18-19 South Dakota: Light showers today – keeping an eye on Wednesday storm system. B.
18
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-18-19 South Dakota: Light showers today – keeping an eye on Wednesday storm system. B.

Today's Video:  http://youtu.be/7zKYiJJD4gM?hd=1 Simulated Radar Today: Total Precipitation Today: Another wave into Wednesday with light accumulating snow possible in far SE portions of the state: Winds the next 4 days: City Charts: 
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11-18-19 North Dakota: Light rain today, watching for a light snow accumulation Wednesday. B.
18
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-18-19 North Dakota: Light rain today, watching for a light snow accumulation Wednesday. B.

Today's Video:  http://youtu.be/bCtBpMXeb7g?hd=1 Simulated Radar Today: Total Precipitation Today: Another wave on Tuesday Night into Wednesday with accumulating snow possible: Winds the next 4 days: City Charts: 
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11-18-19 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing weekend trends, model differences for week 2. B.
18
Nov
By Bret Walts

11-18-19 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing weekend trends, model differences for week 2. B.

Good morning!  Here is your AM Energy Report!  Have a blessed day!  ~Bret 11-18 AM Energy Check-Up Weekend data saw a lot of volatility with major back and forth shifts on the GEFS from very cold to now warmer than normal for the week 2 period. There remain major differences just…
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