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Author: Bret Walts

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3-12-20 500 Festival Education Program: Dry and mild conditions throughout the duration of the event. B.
12
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-12-20 500 Festival Education Program: Dry and mild conditions throughout the duration of the event. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest hourly forecast for today. Overall, looks like it should be a decent day for the study trip: Forecast Blurb: Temperatures have stayed a touch warmer overnight which will allow afternoon highs to surge into the upper-50s. Wind will not be a concern especially…
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3-11-20 500 Festival Education Program: Cool start to tomorrow. Cloudy but rain likely holds off until the evening.
11
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-11-20 500 Festival Education Program: Cool start to tomorrow. Cloudy but rain likely holds off until the evening.

Good morning everyone. Tomorrow could start off with some patchy fog in the area, but otherwise there are no major weather concerns for tomorrow's trip. We'll keep an eye on the late afternoon hours, but it's likely the shower/sprinkle chance holds off until the evening after the program is over.…
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3-11-20 Early AM Energy Report: Forecast thoughts remain steady, but some model biases persist. B.
11
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-11-20 Early AM Energy Report: Forecast thoughts remain steady, but some model biases persist. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  3-11-20 AM Energy Check Up Models have been more consistent the last few runs, with gradual warming trends on the EPS. It’s worth noting that the European data especially is trying to put down snow in the Ohio Valley this…
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3-10-20 500 Festival Education Program: Sprinkles give way to cloudy and breezy conditions this morning. B.
10
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-10-20 500 Festival Education Program: Sprinkles give way to cloudy and breezy conditions this morning. B.

Good morning everyone. Here's a look at the current radar across the area. Note, stations arounds the region are reporting a light mist/drizzle and we do think this can linger the next hour or so. However, by 9AM EDT, Morocco should dry out with cloudy conditions.  Simulated radar at 7AM…
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3-10-20 Early AM Energy Report: Wild model swings overnight. Additional volatile runs possible. B.
10
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-10-20 Early AM Energy Report: Wild model swings overnight. Additional volatile runs possible. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  3-10 AM Energy Check Up Last night was a wild night of model runs with the EPS and the GEFS going in opposite directions. As a whole the EPS gained 19 points and the GEFS lost 27 points. This makes…
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3-9-20 PM Energy Report: GEFS remains much cooler than other data in week 2. Warmer solutions more likely East. B.
09
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-9-20 PM Energy Report: GEFS remains much cooler than other data in week 2. Warmer solutions more likely East. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest PM Energy Report:  3-9-20 PM Energy Report Week 1:  The GEFS trended a good bit colder in the week 1 period behind the storm system later this week. It remains more than a dozen points above the EPS and NBM in the week…
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3-9-20 500 Festival Tuesday Education Trip: Windy but dry for tomorrow’s trip. B.
09
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-9-20 500 Festival Tuesday Education Trip: Windy but dry for tomorrow’s trip. B.

Good morning everyone. Overall, it looks like precipitation should work east of the area prior to tomorrow's trip. I've attached today's Indiana video for a more regional and detailed discussion for today:  http://youtu.be/kmWROJaUA40?hd=1 Here's a look at our hourly outlook for tomorrow's trip: Forecast Blurb: Overnight rain will work out…
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3-9-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing volatile weekend data, Eastern US warmth. B.
09
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-9-20 Early AM Energy Report: Discussing volatile weekend data, Eastern US warmth. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report:  3-9 AM Energy Check Up We’ve had a headache inducing weekend of model trends with some ridiculously colder trends on the GEFS while the EPS has actually trended warmer. Note, this is a reversal from last Friday when the GEFS…
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3-6-20 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends continue in the short-term. Discussing risks later this month. B.
06
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-6-20 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends continue in the short-term. Discussing risks later this month. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 3-6-20 AM Energy Check Up Interesting trends in data over the past 24 hours with some pretty notable warmer trends in the short-term and cooler trends in week 2. The warmer trends in week 1 look to be related to…
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3-6-20 500 Festival Education Program: Scattered snow showers early. Windy and cold today. B.
06
Mar
By Bret Walts

3-6-20 500 Festival Education Program: Scattered snow showers early. Windy and cold today. B.

Good morning everyone. No real adjustments to our forecast thoughts for today. The theme will be early scattered snow showers, gusty winds and chilly temperatures. Below is a look at the simulated radar from 5AM - 5PM this afternoon:  Overall, the majority of the snow showers will come this morning,…
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