Bret Walts – Page 114

11-17-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends in the Western/Central US. Analyzing pattern evolution into December and forecast risks. B.

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Nov

11-17-21 Early AM Energy Report: Warmer trends in the Western/Central US. Analyzing pattern evolution into December and forecast risks. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 11-17-21 AM Energy Check Up Overnight Trends: Both the EPS and the GEFS trended warmer across the Central and Western US in the week 2 period, dropping HDDs vs. their forecasts yesterday. Much of this stemmed from a more potent…

11-16-21 PM GEFS Energy Report: Cooler trends once again on mid-day GEFS. Increasing risks of cold air shot before Thanksgiving.

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Nov

By Bret Walts

11-16-21 PM GEFS Energy Report: Cooler trends once again on mid-day GEFS. Increasing risks of cold air shot before Thanksgiving.

Good afternoon everyone. Below is your latest PM GEFS Energy Report: 11-16-21 PM Energy Report GEFS Trends: MID-DAY GEFS CHANGES: No major changes on average in week 1. There were some cooler trends south early in the period and then warmer trends ahead of our storm system early next week…

11-16-21 Early AM Energy Report: Colder trends once again in week 2 on overnight data. B.

16

Nov

By Bret Walts

11-16-21 Early AM Energy Report: Colder trends once again in week 2 on overnight data. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 11-16-21 AM Energy Check Up Overnight Trends: Both the EPS and the GEFS trended colder in the extended range, bringing HDDs up 10 points above the 10 and 30 year normal values. However, we do continue to note slightly warmer…

11-15-21 Early AM Energy Report: Overall, weekend data roll-forwards jive with our Friday forecast. Latest thoughts here. B.

15

Nov

By Bret Walts

11-15-21 Early AM Energy Report: Overall, weekend data roll-forwards jive with our Friday forecast. Latest thoughts here. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 11-15-21 AM Energy Check Up Weekend Trends: Overall, data continued to be a bit volatile as we expected over the weekend with a few runs with colder trends and a few runs with warmer trends on both the EPS and…

11-14-21 Week Ahead Report: Data continues to be a bit volatile, but overall thoughts remain consistent from Friday. B.

14

Nov

By Bret Walts

11-14-21 Week Ahead Report: Data continues to be a bit volatile, but overall thoughts remain consistent from Friday. B.

Good afternoon evening. Below is your latest Week Ahead Report: 11-14-21 WeekAhead Outlook AG: No major rainfall over the weekend with a lot of the precipitation coming in the form of snow in the Upper-Midwest and Northern Plains (even the Ohio Valley). Over the next week, we’re looking at a…

11-12-21 Early AM Energy Report: Details on colder trends over the past 24 hours and durability of cooler risks. B.

12

Nov

By Bret Walts

11-12-21 Early AM Energy Report: Details on colder trends over the past 24 hours and durability of cooler risks. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 11-12-21 AM Energy Check Up The overnight EPS trended a touch cooler again, mainly with slightly cooler trends in the Eastern US late week 2. Both the EPS and the GEFS did trend a bit colder behind our front late…

11-11-21 Early AM Energy Report: Latest details on pattern volatility and overnight model trends. B.

11

Nov

By Bret Walts

11-11-21 Early AM Energy Report: Latest details on pattern volatility and overnight model trends. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 11-11-21 AM Energy Check Up The overnight EPS trended a bit warmer late week 1 into early week 2 ahead of our storm system more like what the GEFS had yesterday, though it did trend colder behind this system, keeping…

11-10-21 Early AM Energy Report: Mid-Late November trending towards ups/downs and lack of persistent cold threats. Details here. B.

10

Nov

By Bret Walts

11-10-21 Early AM Energy Report: Mid-Late November trending towards ups/downs and lack of persistent cold threats. Details here. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 11-10-21 AM Energy Check Up No major changes overnight on the ensemble data for the next two weeks – generally more of the same with colder trends behind storm systems and warmer trends ahead of them. We also saw continued…

11-9-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data continues to diverge in the extended range. Latest risks and forecast thoughts. B.

09

Nov

By Bret Walts

11-9-21 Early AM Energy Report: Data continues to diverge in the extended range. Latest risks and forecast thoughts. B.

Good morning everyone, below is your latest AM Energy Report: 11-9-21 AM Energy Check Up Data continues to be volatile in the extended range – especially on the operational data with big swings in the GFS on the last few runs. This represents some of the uncertainty we tried to…

11-8-21 Early AM Energy Report: Cold shot remains on tap late week 1, conflicting signals arise late week 2. B.

08

Nov

By Bret Walts

11-8-21 Early AM Energy Report: Cold shot remains on tap late week 1, conflicting signals arise late week 2. B.

Good morning everyone. Below is your latest AM Energy Report: 11-8-21 AM Energy Check Up Looking at our week ahead from Friday afternoon, our week 1 forecast was 92.5 for what is now week 1 and 136 for week 2. For verification purposes our latest week 1 is 93.5 (1…