Vince Bryan – Page 991

8-30-18 Long-range: Warmer risks present next 2 weeks but a pattern change looms we believe. Details here. M.

30

Aug

8-30-18 Long-range: Warmer risks present next 2 weeks but a pattern change looms we believe. Details here. M.

Holiday weekend schedule of updates: Today's video: http://youtu.be/bu6cJKRmLbo?hd=1 PDF slides (click link below to open in HD): 8-30-18 Long-Range Analysis Images:

8-30-18 Iowa: Discussing very heavy rainfall & strong storm risks heading into Labor Day Weekend & beyond. K.

30

Aug

By Vince Bryan

8-30-18 Iowa: Discussing very heavy rainfall & strong storm risks heading into Labor Day Weekend & beyond. K.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfSSzSjnBSo&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 Total rainfall the next 60 hours is below. Given the multiple bouts of rainfall work in with some strong storms possible, we think where it rains we can expect a base of 0.5-1.5". However, we do agree with the model as well that some areas may see…

8-30-18 Early AM Energy Check-up: Above normal demand continues for the next 2 weeks…uncertainty still remains, latest discussion here. K.

30

Aug

By Vince Bryan

8-30-18 Early AM Energy Check-up: Above normal demand continues for the next 2 weeks…uncertainty still remains, latest discussion here. K.

Today's early AM energy check-up is below...very little change in our forecast vs yesterday. There's still some questions that need answers in the week 2 timeframe, so right now not going to drastically change our forecast in hopes some consistency in the data arises. Have a blessed day! -Kirk 8-30-18…

8-29-18 Long-range: Very active pattern continues across the central US…update on latest ENSO progression & Fall thoughts. M.

29

Aug

By Vince Bryan

8-29-18 Long-range: Very active pattern continues across the central US…update on latest ENSO progression & Fall thoughts. M.

Holiday weekend forecast updated schedule: Today's video: http://youtu.be/T2F5UkiPQCg?hd=1 PDF Slides (click link below to open in HD): 8-29-18 Long-Range Analysis Images:

8-29-18 Early AM Energy Check-up: Demand high for week 1, cooler shift into week 2 continue. K.

29

Aug

By Vince Bryan

8-29-18 Early AM Energy Check-up: Demand high for week 1, cooler shift into week 2 continue. K.

Today's early AM energy check-up is below...not a lot of significant change, the GEFS did warm vs yesterday but we think it's week 2 solution is muddled and too much of an average and doesn't make a whole lot of sense. Still think things are on track for some cooler…

8-28-18 Missouri PM: Targeting localized severe storms & heavy rainfall next 2 days. K.

28

Aug

By Vince Bryan

8-28-18 Missouri PM: Targeting localized severe storms & heavy rainfall next 2 days. K.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=suiXnDFLOms Latest strong to severe storm risk...main threats being damaging winds, large hail, isolated tornadoes and heavy rainfall being the main risks: Total rainfall guidance next 36 hours...where it rains especially across the northeastern 3/4 county rows, a good base to expect is ~0.5-1.5" with localized 3"+ can't…

8-28-18 Central Plains: Severe storm potential for the northeastern half of the area today….calmer Wednesday expected. N.

28

Aug

By Vince Bryan

8-28-18 Central Plains: Severe storm potential for the northeastern half of the area today….calmer Wednesday expected. N.

Today's IA video: http://youtu.be/1q6jR8nHv_Q?hd=1 Today's NE/KS/MO video: http://youtu.be/1q6jR8nHv_Q?hd=1 Severe storm risk area for today with details is below...northeastern Iowa the focus this morning with damaging winds and large hail...additional strong to severe storms build into the area this afternoon into the evening from SW to NE. The areas most susceptible look are…

8-28-18 Long-range: Discussing drought-relief rainfall opportunity, Atlantic tropical potential ahead & possible pattern flip into September. M.

28

Aug

By Vince Bryan

8-28-18 Long-range: Discussing drought-relief rainfall opportunity, Atlantic tropical potential ahead & possible pattern flip into September. M.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/513gR3Z73X8?hd=1 PDF Slides (click link below to open in HD): 8-28-18 Long-Range Analysis Images:

8-28-18 IL/IN/OH: Targeting strong storms west tonight, very warm next 2 days…discussing updated risks into Labor Day Weekend. K.

28

Aug

By Vince Bryan

8-28-18 IL/IN/OH: Targeting strong storms west tonight, very warm next 2 days…discussing updated risks into Labor Day Weekend. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/x87IkwYvOTo?hd=1 We are expecting the risks to increase for strong to severe storms tonight, especially across the northern half of IL and far northwestern IN tonight...main timeframe is 5pm-2amEDT...risks include damaging winds, heavy rainfall, isolated hail and isolated tornadoes...the southwestern half of the forecast area likely remains dry…

8-28-18 Early AM Energy Check-up: Changes brewing in the extended forecast…latest discussion here. K.

28

Aug

By Vince Bryan

8-28-18 Early AM Energy Check-up: Changes brewing in the extended forecast…latest discussion here. K.

Today's early AM energy check-up is below...little change in the near-term forecast...however, changes continue to be brewing into the week 2/3 timeframe that we need to watch closely. Have a blessed Tuesday! -Kirk 8-28-18 AM Energy Checkup