Vince Bryan – Page 967

12-20-18 South America: Discussing pattern update next 2 weeks and model differences to open early Jan. K.

20

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-20-18 South America: Discussing pattern update next 2 weeks and model differences to open early Jan. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/kq76J5lGA_8?hd=1

12-20-18 Long-range: Discussing recent modeled colder changes & more great research on the AO/NAO from the SSWe. M.

20

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-20-18 Long-range: Discussing recent modeled colder changes & more great research on the AO/NAO from the SSWe. M.

Holiday schedule: Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vt-iG5zU1PQ PDF Slides (click link below to open in HD): 12-20-18 Long-Range Analysis Images: Key Points: Nearing our lowest point in GWHDD demand. Following the storm system moving through the Ohio Valley today and eventually the East Coast, some cooler air will move through the Eastern…

20

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-20-18 IN/IL/OH: Targeting multiple wintry risks Friday into Christmas Day…discussing the latest data this morning. K.

Today's Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5k-qSAnr2FA&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 The story today will be mild temps and dreary conditions with on and off drizzle and light rain showers for most of us. A few pockets of heavier rainfall will be possible for eastern Indiana and Ohio throughout the day given some stronger upward motion in the…

12-20-18 Early AM SA ag weather check-up: Little change in forecast thoughts vs yesterday, updated data & analysis. K.

20

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-20-18 Early AM SA ag weather check-up: Little change in forecast thoughts vs yesterday, updated data & analysis. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk

12-19-18 South America: Diving into updated research/data regarding patten evolution into Jan/Feb. K.

19

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-19-18 South America: Diving into updated research/data regarding patten evolution into Jan/Feb. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/9QVzkFc3DqQ?hd=1

12-19-18 Long-range: Updated stratospheric warming event research and potential impacts to the January pattern. K.

19

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-19-18 Long-range: Updated stratospheric warming event research and potential impacts to the January pattern. K.

***No updated video today...below is our research this morning showing central-based El Nino's that featured a sudden stratospheric warming event. 2 of these 3 years (1970,2004 January) showed similarities in the angular momentum. The takeaway here is, the SSWe resulting in a "split" of the Polar Vortex in these years (1970,…

12-19-18 Early AM SA ag weather check-up: Targeting rainfall return to the dry SE Brazil croplands today. K.

19

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-19-18 Early AM SA ag weather check-up: Targeting rainfall return to the dry SE Brazil croplands today. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk Key Points: - Lighter rains noted over the past 24 hours, with ~0.25-1.00” and isolated higher amounts fell across central to northern Argentina growing areas as well as widely scattered coverage noted across Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina, Parana and Sao Paolo, Brazil regions…

12-18-18 South America: Extended range forecast analysis through January. K.

18

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-18-18 South America: Extended range forecast analysis through January. K.

Today's video: http://youtu.be/GQYyYElQIWc?hd=1 Week 1: A few more days of heavy rainfall continues across north-central Argentina to Uruguay, southern Paraguay and southern Brazil correlated with the negative trend in the AAO, also allowing for some drier weather in central Brazil. Week 2: No major changes in our week 2 thoughts,…

12-18-18 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 forecast…flip-flop alert on ECMWF Weeklies. K.

18

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-18-18 Long-range: Updated weeks 3/4 forecast…flip-flop alert on ECMWF Weeklies. K.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SU-eB23LpN4 PDF slides (click link below to open in HD): 12-18-18 Long-Range Analysis Images: Synopsis: Split flow continues to lead to a quiet pattern for the Central US in week 1. A storm system will phase later this week and lead to rain risks in the Eastern Ohio…

12-18-18 Early AM SA ag weather check-up: Heavy rains continue south this morning…eyeing timely rains for SE Brazil? K.

18

Dec

By Vince Bryan

12-18-18 Early AM SA ag weather check-up: Heavy rains continue south this morning…eyeing timely rains for SE Brazil? K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk