6-4-18 Central Plains Forecast: Heat and humidity return throughout the week…increasing storm chances second half of the week. Details here. N.

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Forecast radar from 9am to 7pm shows a disturbance bringing scattered showers to portions of central Kansas and southern Nebraska.  As the showers try to work east into Missouri they will tend to fizzle given extent of dry air and surface high pressure situated there.

Precipitation totals will be light.  An area of 0.1″ to 0.2″ possible.

After a mainly dry Tuesday, storm chances ramp up late Wednesday in the north and west areas.  This will be the beginning of daily storm chances into the weekend.  Forecast radar from 1pm Wednesday to 10am Thursday CDT shown below.  Although “overall” focus may be in the northern half of the area, I do see signs of a cluster of storms to dive south into central Kansas early Thursday, something to keep an eye on.

Total rainfall over the next 7 days remains difficult as the models will struggle with these “storm clusters” late week.  Despite several storm chances, we think most areas remain drier than normal (especially Missouri).  I circled the area where I think the greatest precipitation risks remain for this week.  Not everyone here will see soaking rains (some may see no rain), but there will be spots in especially northern Iowa that could see repeated rounds of rain.  

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Weeks 1 and 2 temperatures from normal discussion:

Weeks 1 and 2 precipitation from normal discussion: