7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

7-16-19 Long-range: A lot of ups-and-downs the next few weeks…details here. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex-ZhpxKmtA&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Link: 7-16-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Some storms cluster risks as the ridge builds are increasing in portions of Iowa and Nebraska with rain ongoing in some areas this morning.  Heat really builds later this week with drier risks under the ridge in the Central Plains. Some northwest flow will develop as the ridge retracts early next week and brings some storm cluster risks into the Midwest and Eastern Plains.  We continue to watch for a cool-down in the pattern in week 2 related to a strongly –SOI…
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7-16-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Big warm-up still targeted thru the weekend…discussing risks for cooler late next week. K.

7-16-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Big warm-up still targeted thru the weekend…discussing risks for cooler late next week. K.

Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in higher definition): Link: 7-16-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Rainfall over the past 24 hours was focused across the western Plains to parts of MN, WI and the MO Valley…with a current cluster moving through NE and northern IA this morning. Totals ranged generally between ~0.5-1.5”. Today is about the final day for feeling the tropical remnants of Barry across the Ohio Valley before it weakens and pushes east…we are still thinking some locally heavy redevelopment is possible across eastern IL, IN, OH and KY ~0.5-1.5”…isolated…
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7-15-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Remnants of Barry work east mid-week followed by extreme heat / very dry conditions. K.

7-15-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Remnants of Barry work east mid-week followed by extreme heat / very dry conditions. K.

Have a blessed week ahead! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): PDF: 7-15-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Rainfall over the the weekend was very sporadic, with small cluster totals ranging from 0.5-2.0” across the NW Plains, MN, WI to parts of IL and IN…otherwise, completely dry elsewhere. We still see heavy rainfall impacts from the tropical remnants of Barry across the Mississippi River Valley to the Missouri Valley…models have trended weaker with rainfall coverage and intensity of more scattered 0.5-1.5” totals across the Ohio Valley and eastern Ag Belt vs late last week. We…
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7-14-19 Weeks Ahead update: Above Normal Temps for Week 1.V.

7-14-19 Weeks Ahead update: Above Normal Temps for Week 1.V.

Good Sunday afternoon! Here is a look at your weeks ahead! Temperature Analysis: Week 1 looks to bring much above normal temps for most of the US as we see a lack of high latitude blocking that would otherwise keep things cooler in the US. The Pacific Northwest is one spot where we tend to think the temperatures can stay cooler than average. A relax in the global winds as shown via the -AAM gives us more of a La Nina feel with temperatures above normal in this timeframe for much of the US. The one risk for cooler than…
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7-12-19 Long-range: Discussing a big warm-up/drier risks ahead, increased storm cluster potential + updated weeks 3/4 & August outlooks. M.

7-12-19 Long-range: Discussing a big warm-up/drier risks ahead, increased storm cluster potential + updated weeks 3/4 & August outlooks. M.

**We absolutely encourage everyone to check out and read all of the notes slides and watch all of the video, as we poured significant research into why the 2nd half of July has evolved more with warmer / less excessively wet risks, pattern favoring larger storm clusters ahead (derechos), updated weeks 3/4 forecast into early August and our latest updated August forecast. Have a blessed weekend! -Kirk Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xJ6fLrfjlzo&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-12-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Barry remains disorganized this morning but still looks to make landfall as a tropical storm or…
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7-12-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Beyond Barry influences, discussing the warm/dry next ~2 weeks + late month trends. K.

7-12-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Beyond Barry influences, discussing the warm/dry next ~2 weeks + late month trends. K.

Hoping you all have a blessed weekend! We will be watching how Tropical Storm Barry tracks this weekend and likely incorporate that in our Week Ahead update on Sunday for you all. -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-12-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Rainfall over the past 24 hours was pretty much dr everywhere but the eastern half of Ohio that saw strong storms and localized ~0.75-1.50”. Latest guidance continues to suggest that the remnants of tropical storm “Barry” will have impacts especially to the Mississippi River Basin, parts of the MO and TN…
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7-9-19 Long-range: Updated “Barry” tropical influences ahead. Watching late July cooler risks. M.

7-9-19 Long-range: Updated “Barry” tropical influences ahead. Watching late July cooler risks. M.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Apcm7zdHSQ0&feature=youtu.be PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-9-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Continuing to keep a very close eye on the potential development of Tropical Storm Barry in the Gulf of Mexico in the week 1 period. Where this tracks will have big impacts on sensible weather for much of the the Deep South unto the Missouri and Ohio Valley.  Not out of the question for this to tack into the aforementioned regions and lead to a heavy rain maker and also produce briefly cooler temperatures for these regions.  However, confidence remains low on the…
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7-8-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing a drier trending week ahead as a whole…eyeing possible tropical influences ahead. K.

7-8-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Discussing a drier trending week ahead as a whole…eyeing possible tropical influences ahead. K.

Hoping everyone had a great weekend...have a blessed week ahead! -Kirk PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): 7-8-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Rainfall over the weekend was fairly widespread moderate to heavy, barring a good portion of Iowa, northern Missouri, western IL and parts of ND and MN. Totals varied, but were generally 0.75-1.50”, however, localized 1.0-3.0”+ were seen especially in NE, KS and MO. No question data has trended quite a bit drier for this week ahead vs previous suggestions last week especially for the Midwest and Missouri / Tennessee Valley regions where pretty…
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7-7-19 Week Ahead Update: Impacts of the south east ridge and tropical system. Details here.V.

Good Sunday evening! Here are your latest updates for the next 2 weeks regarding precipitation and temperatures! Temperature Outlook: Week 1 looks to hold around normal temperatures in the Ohio Valley with warmer than normal conditions in the Tennessee Valley. The majority of cooler than normal weather will stay in the Western half of the country as we see the southeast ridge keeping the eastern US warm and the preceding trough in the West causing below normal temps. The Central Plains is one area where we think the temperatures could differ from the model as we are expecting closer to…
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7-5-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Check on recent locally heavy rainfall + breaking down the model volatility into the mid / late July pattern. K.

7-5-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Check on recent locally heavy rainfall + breaking down the model volatility into the mid / late July pattern. K.

Hoping everyone had a great 4th of July Holiday! Make sure to read each key point below, and additional detailed breakdown in the long-range video in a few hours...let us know if you have any questions or if there's any gray area for you ahead that we haven't covered. Have a blessed weekend! -Kirk Key Points: Rainfall over the past 48 hours was quite widespread regarding storm clusters and heavy, slow moving storms especially across SD, NE, Iowa, KS, MO, IL and parts of IN / OH in a range of 1.0-2.0”…localized much higher noted as well. Not much variability…
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