9-20-19 Long-range: Discussing lengthy warmth ahead, excessive rainfall risks + updated weeks 3/4 / October forecasts. M.

9-20-19 Long-range: Discussing lengthy warmth ahead, excessive rainfall risks + updated weeks 3/4 / October forecasts. M.

Don't forget to sign-up for our official client winter webinar Wed, Oct 9th at 11amET here! BAMwx.com/client-webinar/ Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iNILHwAEFEs&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-20-19 Long range analysis Key Points: Notable warmth this week in the Central US with most of the Ag Belt averaging 5 – 8F above normal.  Keeping an eye on the remnants of Tropical Storm Imelda that brought up to 32”+ of rain in Texas and will bring rain up into the Eastern Plains/Midwest later this week. Any cold fronts in the next week or two look to have…
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9-20-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Heat persists for many ahead, discussing excessive rainfall risks & more. K.

9-20-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Heat persists for many ahead, discussing excessive rainfall risks & more. K.

Hoping you all have a very blessed weekend! -Kirk PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-20-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: 24 hour rainfall: although the radar is quiet this morning, yesterday morning we still had locally heavy rainfall especially across eastern NE, northeast / southwest IA, northern IL to the southern half of WI. Today’s weather highlights: Our next more impactful precipitation risk will come late tonight across the northwestern Plains bringing widespread 0.5-1.5” risks, moving southeast slowly through Saturday across the central Plains. Weekend weather highlights: The models merge the southern tropical…
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*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?*

*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?*

*Special Oct Rainfall Outlook Update. Major Rains Possible. Harvest Delays?* This afternoon ive been looking over some of our analogs that involve a similar MJO pattern to 2019 aka tropical forcing. One thing im growing increasingly concerned with is the possibility that MJO can stall out in phase 1 which has a statistically high correlation to very wet weather here in the Midwest in October. This pattern is actually somewhat very similar to Oct 2018. What catches my attention is these particular phases of the MJO are also notorious for Atlantic tropical activity and all it takes is 1 storm…
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*Preliminary first take on Winter 19-20*

*Preliminary first take on Winter 19-20* Today we wanted to share with you what our current research is telling us for the upcoming Winter season. As always outlooks in September are largely up for grabs but the things we look at today are more from a historical analog stand point. Please be sure to register for the Winter outlook webinar exclusive to paying clients Wed Oct 9th 11am EDT. Register here: https://bamwx.com/client-webinar/ Click here for the PDF of our Prelim Winter 19-20.
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9-17-19 South America: Growing concern for hot/dry conditions to persist in central Brazil next 4-6+ weeks…latest Plant ’19 research. K.

9-17-19 South America: Growing concern for hot/dry conditions to persist in central Brazil next 4-6+ weeks…latest Plant ’19 research. K.

***We've included all of our agriculture weather subscribers access to today's latest South America video regarding the pattern ahead over the next 4-6 weeks. This is a separate subscription available that will start again with daily updates October 1st for the SA planting season. If interested in adding this to your current subscription, e-mail us today at: info@bamwx.com! -Kirk Today's video (Link: https://youtu.be/tnLvaT72RXM): http://youtu.be/tnLvaT72RXM?hd=1 Today's video headlines:
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9-17-19 Long-range: Warm signal persists ahead into late Sept…pattern turning more active as well? Latest details here. K.

9-17-19 Long-range: Warm signal persists ahead into late Sept…pattern turning more active as well? Latest details here. K.

***No updated video today...we've been working full-steam ahead on winter research this morning and will be sending out a separate update later today on our lates findings for review. Have a blessed day! -Kirk PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-17-19 Long-range analysis Key Points: Major warmth this week in the Central US with most of the Ag Belt averaging 8 – 12F above normal.  Keeping an eye on a tropical disturbance that will bring rain into Texas and up into the Eastern Plains later this week.  Any cold fronts in the next week or…
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9-16-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Big warm up targeted ahead…discussing updated storm dates & precip trends. K.

9-16-19 AM Ag Weather Check-up: Big warm up targeted ahead…discussing updated storm dates & precip trends. K.

Hoping you all had a great weekend and have a great week ahead! -Kirk PDF Report (click link to the right to open in HD): 9-16-19 AM Ag Weather Checkup Key Points: Weekend rainfall: 0.5-1.5” totals noted from northeast NE, central to eastern IA, north-central IL to northwestern IN…otherwise, it was a quiet weekend across the grain belt. Today’s weather highlights: No widespread weather concerns today. Tuesday’s weather highlights: Other than a possible localized storm cluster across eastern SD to central MN Tuesday AM…still quiet widespread. In the PNW, a slow moving low pressure system will bring fairly widespread light…
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9-15-19 Week Ahead Outlook:  Major warmth ahead.  MG.

9-15-19 Week Ahead Outlook: Major warmth ahead. MG.

Good afternoon!  Here is your week ahead outlook!  Have a blessed day!  -Matt Temperatures: A stout central US ridge is expected during the week 1 time frame  which will allow for much above normal temperatures across much of the central US.  An upper level trough, currently making its way into the Pacific Northwest, will usher in cooler temperatures for the West Coast.  A trough is also expected to develop in the Atlantic Northeast which could allow for slightly cooler to normal temperatures across the US Northeast.  Both the GEFS and EPS are in good agreement with temperature pattern in the…
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9-13-19 Long-range: More heat in the short term. Latest details on tricky Week’s 3/4, conflicting pattern drivers into October. B.

9-13-19 Long-range: More heat in the short term. Latest details on tricky Week’s 3/4, conflicting pattern drivers into October. B.

Today's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CJ2ZS-Woz_g&feature=youtu.be&hd=1 PDF Report (click link below to open in HD): Friday-The-13th Long Range Key Points: Following today’s cold front warmth will rebuild Sunday and early next week with well above normal temperatures developing from the North-Central US into the Deep South. Days 2 – 7 will likely average 8-12F above normal for the majority of the Ag Belt. Continued dry conditions in the Ohio Valley combined with hot weather will quickly dry out soils. High temperatures will likely also continue to overachieve with the dry soils heating up faster. Appearing more likely that tropical activity will go out…
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